Image is of Gazans breaking their fast with the Iftar meal during the ongoing Ramadan.
Due to a request by @miz@hexbear.net, this thread’s COTW is Qatar.
The ceasefire deal broke down early last week after Israel unilaterally changed the terms of the agreement and then blamed Hamas for not meeting them. Violence against civilians has rapidly accelerated to pre-ceasefire levels, with many hundreds dead already, aid once again cut off, and Israeli soldiers once again entering and occupying the attritional labyrinth that is Gaza.
I’m not yet in a position to make any solid predictions or analysis, as the geopolitical situation in and around Israel has changed fairly substantially over the last 6 months; in some ways benefiting Israel, and in other ways not. We know for sure how Hamas and Ansarallah are reacting (thankfully, with open hostility to both Israel and the United States), but the state of Hezbollah has been a giant question mark for months now, and precisely what Iran plans to do (beyond the usual level of supplying weaponry and intelligence to all the allies it can) is unknown. Syria will be almost certainly be a big wildcard, and we’ll have to see if the compradors in Damascus can weather the storm.
Last week’s thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.
Please check out the HexAtlas!
The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.
Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel’s destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
Update from Ryan Grim on the SECDEF Signals/Groyper Group Chat/Washington WhatsApps:
So the leak was either intentional by the National Security Advisor, or he didn’t realize what he was doing by sharing a Signal group chat with Goldberg. Waltz is a retired colonel who served with the Green Berets. I wonder if parts of the Pentagon are in revolt/trying to reign Trump in. Goldberg is burning a very high placed source by running this story.
Goldberg is a long time establishment journalist, he was one of the first to run the “Iraq has WMDs” stories. So that makes sense. This could also be used now to try get an excuse to remove Waltz. Trump has already sidelined him on Ukraine, so they could use this to get rid of him. Waltz leaking information to a rube like Goldberg might be the end of his presence in the Trump administration.
Also after reading the full article on The Atlantic, it doesn’t seem as if there was much classified information released. Discussions on the strike packages and weapons used, what was hit, and discussing which leaders were killed, is quite an open issue. Open source analysts do that all the time. Obviously Hegseth discussing it on signal just before, during, or after the strikes is a different matter, but it’s not like he just leaked the entire US warplan to the group chat. All the truly top secret stuff was discussed on the “high side”, and not on the signal group chat, according to the article. So Goldberg saying that the war plans were texted to him is pushing it slightly.
rube like Goldberg
RuBe like Goldberg
I didn’t read the article, but according to Ken Klippenstein, Goldberg said he held stuff back that might have “harmed” the US if our “adversaries” gold a hold of it. Basically just enough was released to probably get Waltz dismissed. Could have been a setup/canary trap? Goldberg’s connections to the IDF make this interesting, and again, kind of crazy to burn your source, the National Security Advisor, instead of keeping that info flowing for the next four years. Maybe he just figured someone was going to see his number on the group chat and figure it out eventually?
Why is it so quiet in here? I’m the second comment and this thread is at least 30 minutes old.
Edit. I got it now.
im burned out
To be fair it’s always bad news. As if my personal life isn’t already miserable.
I think because the old news thread is still pinned and this one isn’t.
Trump to impose 25% tariff on countries that buy oil, gas from Venezuela - Reuters
Article
WASHINGTON/HOUSTON March 24 (Reuters) - U.S. President Donald Trump said on Monday that any country that buys oil or gas from Venezuela will pay a 25% tariff on any trades made with the United States. This “secondary tariff” will take effect on April 2, Trump said in a Truth Social post. Trump is imposing the move because, he said, Venezuela has sent “tens of thousands” of people to the United States who have a “very violent nature.”
Earlier this month, Trump issued a 30-day wind down of a license that the U.S. had granted to Chevron (CVX.N), opens new tab since 2022 to operate in sanctioned Venezuela and export its oil, after he accused President Nicolas Maduro of not making progress on electoral reforms and migrant returns. Trump earlier this month invoked the 1798 Alien Enemies Act to justify the deportation of alleged members of Venezuelan gang Tren de Aragua without final removal orders from immigration judges.
China, which already has been the subject of U.S. tariffs, is the largest buyer of Venezuela’s oil, the OPEC member’s main export. In February, China received directly and indirectly some 503,000 barrels per day (bpd) of Venezuelan crude and fuel, which represented 55% of total exports. Tariff impositions in China to imports of certain types of Venezuelan oil in past years led to a decline in the volume of Venezuelan crude received by Chinese buyers, which ultimately forced state company PDVSA to widen price discounts to continue sellin to its most important market.
Spain, Italy, Cuba and India are other consumers of Venezuelan oil. U.S. imports of the oil are set to end in early April unless Trump extends the wind down. There was no immediate response from Maduro’s government to a request for comment.
Levies by China in past years on imports of certain types of Venezuelan oil led to a decline in the volume of Venezuelan crude received by Chinese buyers, which ultimately forced state company PDVSA to widen price discounts to continue selling to its most important market.
rest in piss
Fire sale of personal data
When you’re winning the war so hard you compare yourself to south vietnam
USAID-funded Ukrainians Pravda wrote an article on the fall of Saigon and what Ukraine should learn from it.
This was reposted approvingly by Zelensky mouthpiece Mariana Bezuhla
Bezuhla is the ukranian MP, formerly of zelenskyy’s party, that constantly criticizes all the military people z-man has issues with, including former commander-in-chief Zaluzhnyi but not the current zelensky loyalist Syrskyi
first!
I’m going to use this to quickly update about the Atlas:
- Currently working on UX improvements, adding AI Slop, and more Overpass layers
- Renamed it redAtlas. Check out the live progress here https://redatlas.app/
- I made it selfhostable (if you prefer not going to the netlify hosted one redatlas.app) more here: https://codeberg.org/hex_atlas/redAtlas
- You can share parts of the state via linking the URL e.g https://redatlas.app/information/nexus/prolewiki?country=Germany&id="1599"
- It’s still buggy and I’ll make a proper update once I feel like it’s an alpha-version
Sometimes it feels like he just wants to the word “tariff” as much as possible. The orangeman-in-chief announces “secondary tariffs” of 25% for any country that “purchases oil/gas from Venezuela.” First off, Venezuela sells oil to private companies. And secondly, tariffs are imposed on imports, so it’s not really those countries that end up paying for it.
So to see if we understand correctly, Trump is going to impose 25% tariffs on US imports of rice noodles from China because there are Chinese refiners that buy Venezuelan crude? We’d call it absurd, but in these times.
The plan is also very impractical to say the least. For example, Venezuelan crude reportedly gets shipped to Malaysia, rebranded and sent to China. Who gets slapped with tariffs in this case? And also how do you even prove it? Or maybe that’s besides the point.
All in all, this is a scare tactic to drive up overcompliance and impose even more control over the oil market. Only companies that get US approval can buy Venezuelan crude. Could be a prelude to push for special deals for US corporations too. It could even be framed in Trump terms, “they’re getting a great deal to help us cover the expenses on the migrant crackdown”
So to see if we understand correctly, Trump is going to impose 25% tariffs on US imports of rice noodles from China because there are Chinese refiners that buy Venezuelan crude? We’d call it absurd, but in these times.
Fuck… I don’t have the spare cash to stock up on ramen noodles.
The plan is also very impractical to say the least. For example, Venezuelan crude reportedly gets shipped to Malaysia, rebranded and sent to China. Who gets slapped with tariffs in this case? And also how do you even prove it? Or maybe that’s besides the point.
Yes, it’s beside the point. Trying to argue with the cop that he doesn’t know the law. SMH.
He doesn’t care. The law is just an excuse to do what he wants to do. He doesn’t have to be consistent. He doesn’t have to make sense. All he has to do is distract you with the pretense that there’s some kind of rationale behind his actions.
Literally the whole basis for the liberal legal system. The rules are not for those who make/enforce them. They’re for the dupes; the suckers.
Fuck Israel, fuck the US, free Palestine
I need to vent
I’ve been keeping up with the reporting from Palestine properly since January of last year. I’m by no means an expert on the topic, I’ve lost almost all my friends over my Palestine support, and those who remain almost exclusively refuse to talk about it at all, which makes me stop engaging with them.
And I’m always like “It’s better this way than to have a shitton of fake friends”, but fuck, do I feel alone and isolated these days. Then I watch some news or read articles about Palestine and I quickly don’t care about the cowards and assholes who “used to be my friends” anymore. I’m glad hexbear exists, I think I would’ve given up already without it.
incredible direct kid killer to kid killer interactions
Worrying and frankly puzzling development as the Venezuelan government announces a 6-week electricity rationing plan that establishes that the public sector is only going to work every other day (and a half-day at that). There’s also a general call for conscious electricity use.
There are immediate Qs. The communique mentions low water levels in Western Vzla dams causing electricity issues, but the problem has more to do w/ transmission than generation. This is the area furthest away from the Guri Dam. Shutting down ministries in Caracas won’t help much.
Furthermore, how much electricity will be saved by shutting down public administration buildings really? Many of them have central AC systems that can’t be shut on and off all the time. Also, won’t these workers go home to turn on their TVs and fans?
We would safely bet that a lot more electricity could be saved by telling monstrous shopping malls to close one hour earlier, but right now the private sector is the most sacred of cows. Getting efficiency demands on industries would also be a lot more useful.
The underlying concern, given the lack of information and figures too, is that there are major issues with the electrical grid and this is a kind of preemptive measure to lower demand. But again, if the goal is to reduce electricity consumption this won’t do much.
How long will it be until we get leaks of shitty 2010 era memes these ghouls sent to each other over a group chat plotting a coup in Greenland or something
The only leak I want is a radiation leak preferably on to everyone in that chat room metaphorically
Did they intentionally invite the Atlantic guy lol, I don’t believe they’re actually that annoying an on message in private. And if they are: double wall.
Most corporate journos loyal to the regime are given some sort of direct line of contact to statesmen like Vance and Hesgeth, usually to get wind of a narrative to later dripfeed to the wider press and public. I’ve been convinced to the theory that Goldberg was indeed accidentally added, but only because these guys are tech illiterate morons with fat fingers who didn’t realise that one of them accidentally added their preferred media liaison before they start talking shop.
Some people are questioning if it’s some sort of coordinated “leak”, but I think people are overthinking it because they don’t want to imagine that the people controlling the nukes are stupid enough to just add a journalist to this group.
Only two things I can think of are 1) they want to bait the Yemenis into striking the Saudis, which I think would be a bad idea given the Saudis have basically washed their hands of the latest bombings, whereas the Emiratis, Bahrainis, and Qataris have been actively complicit or 2) they want the news story to be about how stupid they are for this leak instead of how they are bombing Yemen.
No. 1 I guess is possible because I also think it would be a mistake for Ansarallah to strike a Saudi refinery versus a UAE or Bahraini one, but No. 2 doesn’t seem likely given that the US media is a barely covering this stuff anyways.
Also, these sorts of corporate freaks absolutely do talk like this in work chats.
On the topic of point 2, it could be a deliberate leak to distract from the US moving more critical military assets to Diego Garcia for a potential attack on Yemen or Iran, which is happening right now. US media is barely covering the attacks, but a wider escalation could change that.
I don’t think that’s really it, when Bush started the invasion on Iraq in 2003 they timed the B2s to begin bombing as he was giving the speech. They’re not shy about this stuff. It’s also literally good media coverage, the media loves giving flattering coverage of missiles going off or bombers getting relocated. An administration would not distract from the best media coverage it will get all week.
As for distracting Iran or Yemen, the whole point of the B2 is it doesn’t matter if you know it’s coming or not, see: Bush press conference.
Distract who, though? I have no doubt that Iran and Yemen are aware of these movements, but I have a lot of doubt that the US media would have covered them.
I am once again slamming the “strike the refineries” button.
POTUS directive to reopen shipping lanes
How are these ghouls so predictable
Rabid settlers lynched Hamdan Ballal, Palestinian co-director of film No Other Land:
https://xcancel.com/yuval_abraham/status/1904235552620339365Fucking nazis of west asia. Imagine still trying to play “muh both sides” on this.
What the fuck
the fact that there are still Zionists doing both sideism and laughing in the replies show that this society is irredeemable
To show you how much China-bashing is manufactured online, I found a Japan watcher channel which is basically identical to any other China watcher channel right down to how the videos and thumbnails are edited except it’s targeted at Japan instead of China:
https://www.youtube.com/@NipponNarratives4/videosAlmost none of the videos have more than 1k views.
It probably helps that Japan has been depicted as a wholesome anime country and a model for what the rest of Asia should be. People want more anti-China shit because they’ve been primed for decades to hate it.
IDK I think you kind of picked a bad example here is a better one
Overall I think its a possible mistake to think China is unique to this criticism. Yes certainly Japan gets to benefit from delusional weebs biased expectations but what I’ve noticed is even after the “permanent tourist” boom led by some like AbroadinJapan and others, they’ve been quite open in talking about the issues and downsides, despite remaining overall positive, I mean why wouldn’t they? I agree Japan is not a bad place for a foreigner specially compared to post 2020 US/EU.
If you’re really familiar you’ll know this has always been controversial, there was this one guy in the early internet Arudou Debito yeah? He was infamous even 15 years ago and people could not accept his criticism. To be fair he is exactly the type of westerner loser that goes to Japan, gets shocked and then turns Japan hate into a career.
I think overall Americans and western are more racist and biased against Asians than not, the image of cool Japan from the 1990s is far gone and it is not hard to find open and often racist based criticism.
Quite simply genz and later are not growing up with the same Japanese cultural boom as millennials in the early 2000s and it shows. Japan is still popular but you can find pro-Chinese channels with just as many views and overall Asian racism is stronger now than ever.
Partick Lancaster had a Run in With a Ukrainian Drone - soo “We Live ! We Live ! Russia is Power! Akmath is Power Allahu Akbar! …well Click like and Subscribe”
White House inadvertently texted top-secret Yemen war plans to journalist - The Guardian
Article
In extraordinary blunder top Trump cabinet members added Atlantic editor to chat discussing strikes on Houthis.
Senior members of Donald Trump’s cabinet have been involved in a serious security breach while discussing secret military plans for recent US attacks on the Houthi armed group in Yemen.
In an extraordinary blunder, key figures in the Trump administration – including the vice-president, JD Vance, the defence secretary Pete Hegseth, the secretary of state, Marco Rubio, and the director of national intelligence, Tulsi Gabbard – used the commercial chat app Signal to convene and discuss plans – while also including a prominent journalist in the group.
Signal is not approved by the US government for sharing sensitive information.
Others in the chat included the Trump adviser Stephen Miller; Trump’s chief of staff, Susie Wiles; and the key Trump envoy Steve Witkoff.
The breach was revealed in an article published on Monday by Jeffrey Goldberg, the editor of the Atlantic magazine, who discovered that he had been included in a Signal chat called “Houthi PC Small Group” and realising that 18 other members of the group included Trump cabinet members.
In his account, Goldberg said that he removed sensitive material from his account, including the identity of a senior CIA officer and current operational details.
The report was confirmed by Brian Hughes, a spokesperson for the national security council, who told the magazine: “This appears to be an authentic message chain, and we are reviewing how an inadvertent number was added to the chain.”
Hughes added: “The thread is a demonstration of the deep and thoughtful policy coordination between senior officials. The ongoing success of the Houthi operation demonstrates that there were no threats to troops or national security.”
Donald Trump told reporters at the White House that he was unaware of the incident. “I don’t know anything about it. I’m not a big fan of the Atlantic,” Trump said.
The White House press secretary, Karoline Leavitt, later released a statement saying: “President Trump continues to have the utmost confidence in his national security team, including National Security Advisor Mike Waltz.”
The incident is likely to further raise concerns over the Trump administration’s trustworthiness with intelligence shared by erstwhile allies – not least as Hegseth boasts at one stage of guaranteeing “100 percent OPSEC – operations security” while a celebrated journalist is reading his message.
The discussions seen by Goldberg include comments from Vance, who appeared unconvinced of the urgency of attacking Yemen, as well as conversations over what price should be expected of Europeans and other countries for the US removing the threat to a key global shipping route.
Security and intelligence commentators in the US described the breach of operational security as unprecedented – both for the use of a commercial chat service and for the inclusion of Goldberg.
In the US military, the highest political echelon and intelligence services operate under strict rules for communication of classified material and for the discussion of issues concerning operational security where lives and outcomes could be compromised by disclosure.
While Signal is regarded as a secure encrypted chat service, its weakness is that phones on which it is installed can themselves be vulnerable.
Among those aghast at the breach was the Democratic representative Pat Ryan, an army veteran who sits on the House armed services committee who described it using the second world war-era epithet “Fubar” – meaning “fucked up beyond all recognition”.
“If House Republicans won’t hold a hearing on how this happened IMMEDIATELY, I’ll do it my damn self.”
Shane Harris, a longtime national security reporter – formerly of the Washington Post and now with the Atlantic – wrote on BlueSky: “In 25 years of covering national security, I’ve never seen a story like this.”
Goldberg writes that he was initially dubious about whether the messages might be some kind of foreign disinformation operation, but became convinced they were genuine both because of the language and positions presented and because the plan discussed coincided with an actual attack on Yemen.
One striking exchange involved Vance and Hegseth making disparaging remarks about Europe.
“The account identified as ‘JD Vance’ addressed a message at 8:45 to @Pete Hegseth: ‘if you think we should do it let’s go. I just hate bailing Europe out again,’” Goldberg wrote. (The administration has argued that America’s European allies benefit economically from the US navy’s protection of international shipping lanes.)
Goldberg continues: “The user identified as Hegseth responded three minutes later: “VP: I fully share your loathing of European free-loading. It’s PATHETIC. But Mike is correct, we are the only ones on the planet (on our side of the ledger) who can do this.
“Nobody else even close. Question is timing. I feel like now is as good a time as any, given POTUS directive to reopen shipping lanes. I think we should go; but POTUS still retains 24 hours of decision space.”
In reality, about 20 countries are involved in the mission to protect shipping from Houthi attacks including British warships.
As Goldberg became aware of the attack on Yemen taking place, he recorded how he went back to the Signal channel:
“‘Michael Waltz’ [US national security adviser] had provided the group an update. Again, I won’t quote from this text, except to note that he described the operation as an ‘amazing job.’’’
A few minutes later, [another individual wrote]: “A good start.”
Not long after, Waltz responded with three emojis: a fist, an American flag and fire. Others soon joined in, including “MAR”, [Marco Rubio]. He wrote: “Good Job Pete and your team!!” and “Susie Wiles”. She texted: “Kudos to all – most particularly those in theater and CENTCOM! Really great. God bless.”