A reminder that as the US continues to threaten countries around the world, fedposting is to be very much avoided (even with qualifiers like “in Minecraft”) and comments containing it will be removed.

Image depicts a destroyed Saudi pipeline pumping station.


My weekly preamble is in spoiler tags below.

preamble

If last week has had a geopolitical main character, it was Ansarallah in Yemen. In under 24 hours, they managed to seize a very large amount of territory to their west from Saudi-backed mercenary groups. Tens of thousands of enemy soldiers fled, thousands more were captured, and hundreds of combat vehicles and all sorts of military equipment and ammunition are now in Ansarallah’s hands. The entire Red Sea coast of Yemen is now under their control, as well as some of the islands in and around the Bab el-Mandab, which is the narrow strait connecting the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden, which then goes on to connect to the Arabian Sea.

While Ansarallah had a pretty good grip on the Red Sea beforehand and could blockade it to the extent that traffic through the Red Sea plummeted in 2024 and 2025 and remain subdued to this day, it is now capable of much more direct control. And the strait is considerably narrower than Hormuz, meaning there is little hope for any covert operations like those of which the US regularly tries and fails to do over there. The only alternatives for the enemies of Ansarallah both now and in the future are the route all the way around Africa, which becomes even less attractive than usual as fuel prices rise into daily record highs, or the newly inaugurated Northern Sea Route under the firm control of Russia.

While Ansarallah is likely to continue their territorial acquisitions to an extent - with Marib looking like an obvious target - how things will continue from this point seems likely to be increasingly diplomatic. Yemen was once divided between North Yemen (which is, really, western Yemen) and South Yemen (which is, really, eastern Yemen), and this division reflects several genuine historical differences between the populations. Ansarallah has repeatedly stated that they have no intention to militarily occupy the south, and indeed, they ended this most recent offensive at approximately the historical border. Nonetheless, the government in once-South Yemen’s capital of Aden is considered the sole internationally recognized government of Yemen, which doesn’t sound sustainable for the future, so we’ll just have to see how the situation develops geopolitically from here, even if it’s unlikely to be militarily in the case of the southern and eastern territories.

While all this has been going on, Ansarallah was additionally applying major pressure on Saudi Arabia itself, by bombing their military airfields and, even more critically, their oil transportation and production facilities. These strikes were mostly limited to the port facilities in e.g. Yanbu and Jazan, and the Western air interceptor famine has meant that these strikes were mostly unopposed and caused substantial losses. However, Ansarallah has now destroyed some pumping stations for the East-West pipeline that spans Saudi Arabia, bypassing Hormuz for some (but not all) of Saudi Arabia’s oil production to the tune of around 4 million barrels per day, which is, in a happy numerical coincidence, about 4% of pre-2026 oil production. I’ve seen several wildly varying estimates for how long it might take to repair the stations, with some saying a few days and others stating at least a month; the damage does look pretty gnarly on the images. Of course, it might not really matter, because Ansarallah can easily just fire another missile at a station once it’s repaired, unless and until the Saudis give in to Ansarallah’s demands and end the war.


Last week’s thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine

If you have evidence of Zionist crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on the Zionists’ destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


  • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.netM
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    4 days ago

    Bolivian President Rodrigo Paz Announces Diesel Subsidy End - Telesur English

    Article

    Bolivian President Rodrigo Paz announced the elimination of the diesel subsidy in Bolivia, which as of this Saturday is being quoted according to the international market, and announced a series of economic measures to counteract the effect of said measure on the economy.

    “We have made the decision that as of today, diesel will cost us the same as it costs us to buy it abroad. We cannot buy expensive to sell cheap so that a few can steal it,” said the president in a recorded message broadcast on national television.

    This readjustment raises the price of diesel from 9.80 bolivianos (1 dollar) to 17.95 bolivianos (1.83 dollars). Although the cost of said fuel had been adjusted since August 17 only for “large consumers.”Paz announced that Bolivia’s resources “will no longer be used for this subsidy,” but will be allocated to the construction of public infrastructure such as schools, hospitals, and roads.

    He also said that 2.9 million people will receive a new payment of the Extraordinary Protection and Equity Program (PEPE) bonus and that the Government will allocate 800 million bolivianos (81.6 million dollars) in credits with preferential conditions for heavy cargo transporters, guilds, artisans, and small merchants.

    The president withdrew the fuel subsidy that had been in effect since 2005 in December, although in January he had to issue a new decree with that measure after protests from labor unions that questioned other provisions of the original norm.

    At the beginning of July, the Executive issued a decree that keeps the fuel prices established in December fixed for another six months, given the application of the flexible exchange rate for the dollar and external factors that affect the international price of fuels, which the country imports for the most part.

    With this last measure, the stable price is maintained only for gasoline and other fuels, except diesel, although the commitment of the Bolivian Executive before international entities is to eliminate the subsidy completely starting in 2027.

      • He probably has no choice, thanks to the dependency of American oil over Chinese PV has royally fucked over the global south countries who are now competing with the full force of European-American financial capital to scrape the last few barrels off the open market.

        • queermunist she/her@lemmy.ml
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          4 days ago

          I don’t get it. Subsidies make it easier to compete for limited resources, because the government is helping pay the cost.

          • seaposting [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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            4 days ago

            The Bolivian state already owns most parts of the petroleum supply chain. The issue is national: a net oil or energy importer face BoP and foreign currency deficits if they don’t have a counterbalancing competitive export sector.

            So subsidies here only redistribute profits from the state company back to the people. I’m also unsure how much refining capacity Bolivia has, and so the windfall profits from the crack spread may not benefit the state company either.

            Furthermore, subsidies when you are a net importer forces the state to subsidize foreign currency being lost to the global market. So unless it is rationalized, subsidies amplify the loss and can lead to an even worse abrupt stop further down the line. Not every state is capable of rationing fuel either, state capacity has atrophied since the dawn of neoliberalism. The issue compounds when subsidies also disproportionately benefits higher fuel consuming parts of society - ie. affluent and rich households.

            • queermunist she/her@lemmy.ml
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              4 days ago

              I guess they’d need a valuable export of some kind to get their lost bolivianos back, or else they’re just dumping their currency onto the global market for oil and effectively devaluing their own currency.

      • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.netM
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        World Cup Effect + Goverment gave concessions + The Mestizo working class and bourgeoisie didn’t organize or really support the protests (mostly organized by native americans, and some working class mestizos and white bolivians) + US and CIA supporting the current goverment