joaomarrom [he/him, comrade/them]

  • 20 Posts
  • 529 Comments
Joined 6 years ago
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Cake day: July 31st, 2020

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  • How much of a fascist is this Flavio scumbag compared to his father?

    Similar level, different type. Think Bukele vs. Pinochet. Flávio is the new kind, aligned with narcotrafficking organizations and propped up by private capital, whereas his dad was more of the old-school military junta type.

    What kind of fascist terror can Brazilians expect in the coming years?

    Same boring dystopia as always, honestly, with the distinction that now our government, at the local and national level, is almost entirely dominated by the far-right. We have two Charlie Kirks and they had the most votes out of every candidate for congress yesterday.

    I fully expect some kind of Flock camera system to become ubiquitous over the next four years, without any meaningful resistance at all. Police brutality is already seen as a good thing by the majority of the population, so cops will be held even less accountable. I also think the recent online betting ban will be reversed and the door will be open for Polymarket and Kalshi, both of which do not operate in Brazil, yet.

    We will fully align with israel and the US. I believe our local narcotrafficking organizations will also be named terrorist threats in order to fast-track US military intervention. I think US bases in Brazilian territory is on the table at this point, especially as a means of protecting US interests in rare earths and oil. I’m sure there will be no pushback, and most Brazilians will probably welcome US intervention, in fact.

    Is Lula gonna get arrested?

    I don’t think so. He’s been thoroughly defanged at this point, so I don’t expect they’ll even bother. Flávio will probably win the election and, with both congress and the senate entirely in his pocket, as well as the power to name new supreme court justices, he will essentially be able to pull every single lever of power unimpeded. That is to say, if he wants Lula arrested, then yeah, he will be, but the priority will be to release his dad.
















  • Lula announces a ban on online betting in Brazil.

    Machine-translated and summarized by Qwen because Western AIs refuse to translate copyrighted material, lmao

    The government of President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva announced on Friday (25) in São Paulo the total ban on fixed-odds betting (“bets”) in the country. This prohibition also includes online games and virtual casinos, such as the “Tiger Game.”

    The ban, enacted nine days before the elections, was formalized through a Provisional Measure (MP) signed by President Lula and published in an extra edition of the Official Gazette. (Note: Provisional Measures must be voted on by Congress within 120 days to become permanent law.)

    Lula also sent a bill to Congress establishing penalties for anyone who exploits, operates, or promotes these betting platforms.

    “I made the decision to take the hard and drastic measure necessary. It’s like cancer: either you remove the tumor, or the tumor will kill us. […] There was a lot of fighting and discussion about doing it halfway, but no. If it has to be done, we will do what must be done. End the bets,” Lula stated.

    Finance Minister Dario Durigan affirmed that as of Friday, “no more money can be deposited into the country’s betting sites. The sites will remain available for bettors to withdraw their remaining balances until 11:59 PM on October 5.”

    Key Deadlines:

    Until Oct 5, 11:59 PM: Bettors can voluntarily withdraw their balances.
    
    From Oct 6: Betting sites and apps will go offline.
    
    Oct 7–8: Betting companies must report account balances by CPF to operating banks.
    
    Oct 9–14: Full refund of balances processed via banks.
    
    From Oct 14: If issues arise, the state bank Caixa will mediate refunds to bettors.
    

    The Provisional Measure also mandates the removal of all betting-related advertising, marketing, and sponsorship branding from both physical and digital media by October 5.

    Additionally, the government announced a reinforced structure within the Ministry of Justice, including a new Federal Police division and a Digital Rights Secretariat (Sedigi) unit dedicated to asset recovery and combating money laundering linked to betting.

    All pending or new requests for betting lottery concessions or authorizations are now void, and existing authorizations will be revoked within 30 days. Crimes and Penalties

    Because the Brazilian Constitution does not allow Provisional Measures to dictate criminal law, the government sent a separate bill to Congress to criminalize these activities:

    Operating/running betting platforms: 4 to 6 years in prison, plus a fine (applies even with foreign authorization). Penalties increase by one-third for virtual online casino games.
    
    Advertising and marketing: 2 to 4 years in prison, plus a fine, for promoting betting or recruiting bettors (excludes journalistic, educational, scientific, or critical content).
    
    Misuse of personal data: 2 to 4 years in prison for selling or using personal data to target betting ads, especially involving minors or individuals with diagnosed gambling disorders.
    
    Financial facilitation: 2 to 4 years in prison for institutions or developers knowingly processing payments or building/distributing betting apps.
    

    These measures are part of a broader economic package aimed at combating household debt, announced during an event in São Paulo, as President Lula continues to frame betting platforms as destructive to families ahead of the election.

    This still needs congress approval before it becomes law, however, so I’m not too optimistic. Still, great news, although it seems they sure as hell could’ve done this earlier. Are you telling me you had the power to ban betting all along? Come on, man.