Welsh, Social Ecology and Jineology enjoyer, and computer programmer.
Patriots are already obsolete for a war with China. If Israel is donating theirs to Ukraine because they can’t intercept anything more than soviet era aircraft, the US forces around Taiwan are going to be utterly embarrassed by Dongfengs.
Spread insanely thin and most of the stock that’s easy to transport around like the naval-based SM-3 and THAAD are very expensive and slow to resupply.
Patriots are around but they’re being decommissioned by the IOF in place of newer systems with dedicated ABM abilities. Marco Rubio claimed they dont have spare systems due to donating so many to Ukraine.
Killing Khameini? Ngl I wouldnt buy into the strongman claims on social media. Both sides have engaged in what could more likely be psy ops than reality -
Israelis: claiming air superiority, knowledge of Khameini’s location, CCTV inside missile cities, burning tyres, public appeals to recruit dissidents, claims of imminent US involvement nearly every night this week.
Iran: claiming F-35s being shot down, “compromising” Israeli air defence missiles, telling civilians to flee Tel Aviv and Haifa, various claims that the missile attacks are a fraction of their capabilities, and various ominous claims of iminent escalation.
Not that none of this are based on truth, but that their public announcements over social media are intentional to either tie up security resources of the other side, or to mislead the public (and hopefully influential politicians of the other side) of their capabilities.
Id call it propaganda, which overlaps somewhat, but the targets of these claims are as much the political classes of the various nations at play as it is civilians and military personnel.
They also have air launched nuclear weapons, which IMO would give Israel plausible deniability if they used one on a nuclear site.
No matter the facts of the strike, the media will work overtime to convince us that any radiation was from the site itself. Israel could even claim the site isnt as deep as suggested.
Politically, governments don’t rely on the media as much as they rely on available intelligence. Would they believe the IAEA’s assessment? What if they said Israel didn’t? Would they admit the truth, even if would inevitably push a bunch of states to proliferate? Would the Americans (who will be the first to know for sure) provide cover? Would Trump run his mouth if Israel nuked someone without his consent?
Lol if Pakistan suddenly starts sniping planes from beyond American surveillance range what would be the chance of the Americans finding out? Maybe satellites will catch them rearming but its not like they’d be able to visually confirm any missiles used against Israeli jets, and there’s more than enough routes around American naval radars to operate with plausible deniability.
That’s like a wet dream scenario that we would never be able to prove if done right. More likely the Chinese ships are giving Iran early warning capabilities.
Trump is playing a fine line between appeasing his war hawk advisors who would otherwise air their dirty laundry, and not wanting to get into a mess he knows will kill his isolationist rhetoric and everything his political career stands on.
As for whether he makes the call? Fuck knows. I’m certain it was most likely the first night after the NSC meeting and Iran’s “remembered for centuries” statement. Every day after may be followed by more buildup, but politically is a sign that Trump isn’t as willing to press the button as we thought. The buildup since is definitely a sign that the war hawks are trying to further convince trump of their superior position and ability to contain the Iranian response.
News Mega has been starved of internet access to Iran and Israel for 2 days and has resorted to struggle sessions. I saw the new comment count and thought Netanyahu was swinging by his legs in Tehran 😭
Unless they’re watching the situation on behalf of Pakistan, there’s no reason else I would imagine they would park two naval ships next to half a dozen American carrier strike groups.
Maybe they’re also gonna watch how the Americans deal with AShMs.
Israel claimed China provided surveillance from BeiDou satellites to AnsarAllah for locating American warships. I would not be surprised if they did the same for Iran at the VERY least.
It’ll be a deflection point for many between realising the true nature of the empire, or embracing the evil it represents through fascism
The wall they blew apart was not just bricks and barbed wire, but the wall between the old world that is dying and the new one that struggles to be born.
I genuinely do not know with Trump. Personally I’m really hoping he is realising that this war is a construct of Netanyahu and Israel’s ultimate goal of making America do its dirty work, no different to Zelensky trying to goad the Americans into a battle with Russia.
Trump might be a moron, a militarist, a fascist, but he is also wildly egotistical and that is unironically the only thing that might turn Trump back from the brink; the idea that he isnt the one calling the shots but his warhawk advisors or the Israeli regime that thinks they can use him for their own bidding.
what the dawg doin
EDIT: actually doing some decent reporting of the ground situation it seems. huh.
Trump getting bullied by the libs so bad he tells Israel not to go to school tomorrow and loads up his trench coat full of US aircraft carriers
Why would he announce that on national television 😭 momma the mossad behind u
lol they’ve been lurking on comrade marmite’s posts
the old heads of the resistance axis love to sprinkle in a little old style antisemitism as a treat
I don’t know what the Iranian stocks are but yeah it looks like a gun type weapon wouldn’t work but an implosion design (Comrade marmite has another reply to me with supposed Iranian designs for one) would work with as low as 20% enrichment
Oh shit you can just find schematics for their planned nuke design on google lmao. Okay very useful ty
Oh absolutely. Whether or not Iran has evidence to prove it, they know that the Americans and Israelis know the status of rhe F-35s, and the announcements of their destruction is as much to create panic; especially amongst the Imperialist politicians who aren’t privy to sensitive military affairs. Even without evidence they’ll be asking very difficult questions such as “has our decades-long, massively expensive wunderwaffen program just eaten shit in Western Iran?”.
For the average civilian, they dont need to give visual evidence just yet. They may not ever, in fact, if they believe it would give up sensitive information such as:
What weapon hit it?
Where did the weapon impact it?
Where in Iran did it go down?
How much of the wreckage is intact?
We only got pictures in Pakistan and India because the line of contact is highly populated and the fighting occurred over civilian airspace. If a jet goes down in Iran there’s a good chance it was operating over military sites that (should) have been cleared of civilians very quickly.