Image is of a Khorramshahr-4 medium range ballistic missile, which has a range of about 2000km.
As I said in the last megathread, trying to figure out what exactly is happening is becoming ever more difficult. The gist of things is that Iran has, very justifiably, refused to negotiate (assassinating their leader and striking their country with hundreds of missiles in the middle of negotiations causes some reluctance to return to the table, I suppose). Censorship across the Middle East has further ramped up, with reportedly extreme punishments for posting footage of Iranian strikes online. From what I can gather, Iran’s number of strikes have stabilized at a comfortable daily rate, with strikes into both the Gulf monarchies and Occupied Palestine continuing apace. Official charts of these strikes over time seem very disconnected from reality on the ground, but again, it’s hard to really get at the specifics.
The messaging on how long the war is expected to last is rather muddled on both sides. The Trump administration fluctuates more than daily - and even sometimes in the same speech - on whether the war is already won or whether it’s going to last months longer. The US seems to be coming up a new possible scheme every few hours: a ground invasion with the Kurds? A ground invasion without the Kurds? An amphibious assault? A series of commando operations to steal Iranian uranium? A massive parachuting operation into Tehran? Fuck it, let’s just send the Navy into the Strait of Hormuz? There doesn’t seem to be a coherent plan for continuing hostilities beyond firing more and more of a limited stockpile of cruise missiles into mostly non-military targets, hitting easily replaceable drone and missile launchers with a limited stockpile of drones, and burning a limited stockpile of interceptors at an astounding rate (and, in the process, disarming every other Western-aligned country of their interceptors).
Meanwhile, from Iran, I’ve seen rumors and reports from classic anonymous “senior IRGC officials” (no doubt some invented by Zionists to sow confusion), that I don’t know how to substantiate, ranging anywhere from “If the US pulls back their forces now, we will restart negotiations,” to “It doesn’t matter what the US or the Zionists do or say, we aren’t stopping until every last trace of Zionism in the Middle East has been extinguished,” to a few positions in between those poles. Despite the damage to infrastructure in Iran, it doesn’t seem like there has been any political or social fracturing. Not to speak too soon - perhaps the West will start earnestly trying to overfly Iranian territory to drop their very plentiful bombs soon - but every indication is that there will be no regime change nor societal collapse in Iran in the short and medium term.
The US is desperately trying - and mostly failing - to keep a lid on the economic firestorm they have ignited. There has been much ado about oil prices and oil futures and indexes and what all the myriad Lines going up and down signify and things like that, which is befitting such a financialized empire which is so disconnected from the actual physical flows of materials and much more attuned to vibes and speeches. The only thing I’m personally paying much attention to on the economic front is the drones and missiles slamming into fossil fuel infrastructure, the Hormuz blockade, and the resulting global shockwave of shortages, stoppages, closures, bankruptcies, and force majeures spreading out from the epicenter that is Iran.
Last week’s thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.
Please check out the RedAtlas!
The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.
The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on the Zionists’ destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
Reply to this post with additional material on how to participate in the anti-war movement.
Site is starting to slow down for some. please upload videos to other sites then post the link here instead of directly embedding them into the site. If you have posted embedded videos to this page before, when you have the time, please edit your comments containing the videos and swap them out for off-site links.
Try to follow rule 6 a bit harder while the conflict is actively ongoing to keep the news mega clear and on topic.
General notice: do not use dd geopolitics as a source of information as it it ran by the fascist party ACP and its fascist collaborators.
Stop posting AI slop to the mega. If you can’t verify something, don’t post it.
https://xcancel.com/Ahmed_hassan_za/status/2033266292849852594
American reporter: “Are our citizens safe in your Iranian prisons?”
Araghchi: “Are you planning to bomb those prisons?”
Reporter: No.
Araghchi: “Then they are safe.”
Larry Johnson explains how the White House is trapped:
Iran is carrying out an average of four waves of missile and drone attacks per day. The US and Israel have grossly underestimated Iran’s arsenal of ballistic missiles. In the event that Donald Trump tries to declare victory and disengage, Iran will not. Iran will continue to pummel US military facilities in the Persian Gulf and Israel’s military and infrastructure. I believe that Iran will not end its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz until the US and Israel agree to Iran’s terms. These include the lifting of all sanctions against Iran, the removal of US military installations from the Persian Gulf and reparations for the damage inflicted on Iran during the course of this war.
Trump will face the dilemma of accepting Iran’s terms (a humiliating outcome) or continuing a war of attrition while the while Iran launches at least three waves of missiles every day. The pressure on Trump will be enormous as long as Iran maintains control over the Strait of Hormuz… US allies, particularly in Asia, will be pleading to an end of the war, and the domestic economic picture will worsen. Trump is trapped and does not appear to have a politically viable exit ramp.
Reporter: Why are you sending 5,000 Marines to the Middle East?
Trump: You’re a very obnoxious person
Trump’s latest post on Truth Social:
spoiler
Iran has long been known as a Master of Media Manipulation and Public Relations. They are Militarily ineffective and weak, but are really good at “feeding” the very appreciative Fake News Media false information. Now, A.I. has become another Disinformation weapon that Iran uses, quite well, considering they are being annihilated by the day. They showed phony “Kamikaze Boats,” shooting at various Ships at Sea, which looks wonderful, powerful, and vicious, but these Boats don’t exist — It’s all false information to show how “tough” their already defeated Military is! The five U.S. Refueling Planes that were supposedly struck down and badly damaged, according to The Wall Street Journal’s false reporting, and others, are all in service, with the exception of one, which will soon be flying the skies. Buildings and Ships that are shown to be on fire are not — It’s FAKE NEWS, generated by A.I. For instance, Iran, working in close coordination with the Fake News Media, shows our great USS Abraham Lincoln Aircraft Carrier, one of the largest and most prestigious Ships in the World, burning uncontrollably in the Ocean. Not only was it not burning, it was not even shot at — Iran knows better than to do that! The story was knowingly FAKE and, in a certain way, you can say that those Media Outlets that generated it should be brought up on Charges for TREASON for the dissemination of false information! The fact is, Iran is being decimated, and the only battles they “win” are those that they create through AI, and are distributed by Corrupt Media Outlets. The Radical Leftwing Press knows this full well, but continues to go forward with false stories and LIES. That’s why their Approval Rating is so low, and I can win a Presidential Election, IN A LANDSLIDE, getting only 5% positive Press — They have no credibility! I am so thrilled to see Brendan Carr, the Chairman of the Federal Communications Commission (FCC), looking at the licenses of some of these Corrupt and Highly Unpatriotic “News” Organizations. They get Billions of Dollars of FREE American Airwaves, and use it to perpetuate LIES, both in News and almost all of their Shows, including the Late Night Morons, who get gigantic Salaries for horrible Ratings, and never get, as I used to say in The Apprentice, “FIRED.” Thank you for your attention to this matter! President DONALD J. TRUMP
What I’m taking from this is that Iran did indeed land a successful hit on the Lincoln.
A Russian expert explained how US carriers have proven to be ineffective in this conflict:
“First, the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier moved farther away from the Iranian coast to a safer distance, and then, according to the Iranian side, returned to its home base with potential damage. The most expensive and technologically advanced aircraft carrier in history, the USS Gerald R. Ford, has also proven vulnerable. Without even entering direct combat with enemy forces, the lead ship has already had incidents ranging from flooding due to technical problems to fires onboard. As a result, we are seeing the erosion of the core US strategy of demonstrating military power, with costly aircraft carriers losing their status as its main key pillar and most intimidating element,” Stepanov said.
He added that the use of aircraft carriers proved costly and ineffective because they could be deployed relatively safely only outside the range of precision weapons. “As a result, far cheaper Iranian long-range precision systems managed to paralyze two US carrier strike groups with a combined value of about $50 billion,” the expert said.
ABC Australia interviewer: “Has the war made you reconsider the presence of U.S. bases? And what does it mean for agreements between the UAE, the United States and Israel — including the Abraham Accords?”
UAE Minister: “It doesn’t. If anything, we are doubling down on our friends.”
Unlimited
on UAEhttps://xcancel.com/atrupar/status/2033348821850136829
Trump:
“Really, I’m demanding that these countries come in and protect their own territory, because it is their territory … they should help us. You could make the case that maybe we shouldn’t be there at all, because we don’t need it. We have a lot of oil.”
lmao
Someone in new york just fall to his knees
The requirement to “learn Italian at a B1 level” is like a cruise missile targeted at Americans
US shows complete contempt for Iranian history and civilization by destroying ancient Iranian history:
https://xcancel.com/Mephetrahn/status/2033223541093441644Centcom unironically published a video of striking a Cold War era towed artillery piece as some kind of achievement.
It’s 16 March 2026, over four years since the war in Ukraine started, and almost two years since Operation True Promise 1, and your average “journalist” still believes or thinks that, on military matters:
- “Iron Dome” intercepts Medium Range Ballistic Missiles. Arrow 2 and 3, David’s Sling, THAAD, SM-3, their verified presence in Israel are all figments of one’s imagination. Iron Dome either magically intercepts everything or is completely defeated, no in between.
- Is incapable of telling the difference between a 122mm Grad rocket and a ballistic missile, leading to completely inaccurate assessments of military capabilities.
- Dedicated Anti Ballistic Missile (ABM) systems, with a minimum altitude floor of tens of kilometres, have the capability intercept drones or cruise missiles flying at tree top height, the laws of physics don’t exist.
- Multi million dollar interceptor missiles are required to shoot down drones, dedicated counter unmanned aerial systems munitions and tactics, techniques and procedures don’t exist. APKWS, Coyote, all figments of the imagination. Or if they exist, it’s magical technology only Ukraine has access to. Because of course.
- Strategic bombing doctrine is unchanged since WW2 and Vietnam and that kind of unguided carpet bombing still takes place, and every munition that is not a multi million dollar cruise missile is an unguided dumb bomb. JDAMs are unguided according to said journalists. The Gulf War, Kosovo, and the invasion of Iraq never happened, air power is permanently stuck in the Operation Linebacker era.
- International law is real, militaries would never do countervalue strikes because it’s “illegal”. Militaries would never hit civilian infrastructure.
- Senior political figures statements can be trusted during war time, wars will totally end soon by the power of magic and friendship, or never even even start, even as a massive military buildup occurs and continues throughout.
- Every politically inconvenient attack with unintended consequences is a “false flag” performed by the opposing side. Evidence is never presented. Iran now has Tomahawk missiles and the US has Arash drones if this is to be believed.
- The only way to shut down a naval choke point is with one’s Navy interdicting ships, short range anti ship missiles and unmanned craft either don’t exist, or would never be fired at merchant vessels (despite all of history proving otherwise. )
- “Big Sky Theory” is actually real, two aircraft would never collide with each other in mid air because the sky is so big, tall and wide (ignoring the entire history of mid air collisions in aviation)
- Negotiations are sacred and no one would ever amass their forces under the pretext of negotiation.
Can someone do something about said journalists please. They’ve had over four years to learn this. They get paid to inform the public, but they just put out poorly researched slop that aligns with their political priors, usually in a US context. I cannot handle it anymore. It’s information poison. My brain gets fried every time I try read the news.
Looks like the pathetic political stunt that Australia tried pulling to justify supporting the war has completely backfired.
Turns out Iranian women aren’t completely oppressed in their country (the fact that they have their own independent all-women’s football team should have made that obvious) and actually care about their people who are currently getting bombed by countries Australia supports.
NYpost
Youngest US soldier killed by Iranian strike was an Eagle Scout who helped homeless youth
Slammer
🇸🇦🇺🇸⚡️🇮🇷 The New York Times: Trump is also talking regularly to Arab leaders, particularly Mohammed bin Salman, the Saudi crown prince. According to several officials, the advice Mr. Trump is getting from the prince is to keep hitting the Iranians hard, essentially repeating the message that sustained pressure is needed rather than easing off.
