I don’t think they’d behave that irrationally because Trump doesn’t want to be seen as responsible for losing, and neither do any of his other fascist cronies.

You can look at the pattern of how this whole conflict has gone and see obvious signs that they refuse to take large risks – US Navy ships always staying out of the known range of Iranian missiles even to the point that it compromised the “blockade”. Almost everything has been missile attacks for as little risk as possible. Aircraft and pilots are acceptable because they can attribute them all to “accidents”, not a combat loss.

I admit they could escalate but it seems very unlikely to me because of that.