more like thucydideez nuts, gottem

A reminder that as the US continues to threaten countries around the world, fedposting is to be very much avoided (even with qualifiers like “in Minecraft”) and comments containing it will be removed.

Image is of a satellite image from MizarVision, a Chinese firm that has recently shown pride in being sanctioned for showing uncensored images of the Middle East. The West is not allowing up-to-date satellite imagery of the region to hide destruction.


As always, my weekly summary/preamble is in spoilers below.

preamble

Military news remained relatively subdued last week, with the main front continuing to be the Lebanon border. With dozens of vehicles destroyed and many more Zionist casualties, they are now desperately searching for a solution to the FPV drone threat, with certain analysts characterizing the whole situation as the entity stumbling foot-first into a bear trap (hence the megathread title). Unfortunately for them, two better and more resourceful militaries have spent the last year or two also searching for a solution and have generally failed - with anti-drone strategies consisting mainly of 1) build your own cheap drones designed to physically intercept their cheap drones and 2) separate your forces up rather than conducting large frontal assaults WW2-style and accept that you’re gonna have to fight for many months to gain substantial ground. This also explains why they’re so eager to kickstart a civil war in Lebanon, although as I’ve stated before, I don’t personally know whether that would be a silver bullet given how the Lebanese army has been deliberately not allowed to become a threatening force due to Zionist fears, and indeed, I don’t know how many Lebanese citizens and soldiers would fight against the only force in their country fighting against an army trying to annex their territory and which murders hundreds of people at a time in aerial bombings on their cities.

Aside from the ever-worsening global economic catastrophe, the main event has been the US visiting China. Trump clearly intended to time the summit such that it took place after subjugating Iran and perhaps also Cuba. However, with the former goal not even remotely achieved, and the latter goal delayed - hopefully indefinitely, though the US still seems pretty intent on it - it all amounted to a big nothingburger. Marxist economist Michael Roberts has written up a great piece on the current state of the US-China economic conflict, stating among things that, despite the last decade of US sanctions and economic warfare, the Chinese economy has done extremely well, building up their own domestic industries to replace commodities lost from sanctions. China has, up to this point, refused to withdraw its aid from Iran, and seems to be looking to start moving its tankers through the Strait via Iran’s new tolling mechanism.

China obviously continues to maintain its position on Taiwan, and Trump has continued the US tradition of respecting this in words and disrespecting it in actions, but it’s becoming clear to everybody but the most delusional diehards that the US will not be fighting China in and around the Pacific for at least a couple decades, and likely never will. There is little choice. The Ramadan War has definitively proven that the US has been severely militarily and logistically weakened over the decades despite skyrocketing military budgets, and much of their equipment, strategies, and tactics are woefully outdated for the modern battlefield. The prospect of the US fighting a war against China and not immediately losing has gone from “almost implausible” to “hilariously absurd”. Unable to meaningfully impede China, the US will have to content itself to increasingly ineffective sanctions campaigns and bullying/overthrowing nations that do not currently have much of a capacity to resist. In that vein, one hopes that Iran and friends will share their expertise in drone technology and underground fortification around the world. The age of the tunnel is upon us.


Last week’s thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine

If you have evidence of Zionist crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on the Zionists’ destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


  • plinky [he/him]@hexbear.net
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    46 minutes ago

    Important #Iran developments in the past 24 hours:

    🔹Pakistan Army Chief Asim Munir is on his way to Tehran.

    🔹The Pakistani prime minister will travel to China, probably conveying some Iran-related messages.

    🔹Qatar has reportedly sent a negotiating team to Tehran, in coordination with the U.S., to help secure a deal.

    🔹Tehran has been easing passage through the Strait of Hormuz. Reportedly, 35 ships passed yesterday; the figures were 31 and 28 on the previous two days.

    🔹Ghalibaf has appointed Esmaeil Baghaei, the Foreign Ministry spokesperson, as the spokesman for the Iranian negotiating team.

    https://nitter.net/HamidRezaAz/status/2057815058458026111

    fumbled their leverage award? soviet-hmm

  • AlHouthi4President@lemmy.ml
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    Israeli strikes on south Lebanon kill eight paramedics within hours -the Cradle

    Paramedics Ahmad Hariri, Ali Ghassani, Hussein Qasir, and Ali Allami were killed in an Israeli strike on the town of Deir Qanoun al-Nahr in south Lebanon on Friday morning as they were performing their duties.

    Several other people were killed in the Israeli strike on Deir Qanoun al-Nahr, including a barber and a young girl.

    Strikes also hit Jwaya, Toulin, Debaal, Zibqin, and Tebnine on 22 May. The strike on Tebnine killed one person.

    Israel also bombed a pickup truck in the middle of a marketplace in Nabatieh.

    Hours earlier, just after midnight on 22 May, four other paramedics were killed in an Israeli strike on the town of Hanouniye.

    Israel has now killed at least 120 paramedics since the start of Israel’s war on Lebanon in early March. These Israeli strikes include deliberate “double tap” attacks that are aimed at maximizing casualties.

  • FuckyWucky [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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    Turkish Lira is absolutely cooked. They are drawing upon all their $ reserves to keep the Lira crawling peg stable. They’ll be forced to accelerate the crawl if they don’t want to go into foreign debt.

    Turkey and India are the two countries whose currencies are being cooked by this shock. Many commodity exporters including those in the AI supply chain are doing relatively fine because value of their exports rose quite a bit. But Turkey and India aren’t commodity exporters in the way Brazil is for example. There’s still a difference, India has minimal foreign currency debt, their interest rates are set fairly low. So, the Rupee will absorb most of it. Turkey depends on foreigners holding Lira for high interest rates (37% rate!), but when expected depreciation of Lira is higher than the interest, foreigners don’t want to hold it.

  • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.netM
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    4 hours ago

    Epstein class always project their crimes onto others. They accuse others of drug trafficking when they are the ones who sponsor cartels. They accuse others of abuse with no evidence at all, while their President is the one whoremoveds children with documented proof. Notice how this moron did not attach any proof. He has not been “convicted by a court”, there are only charges invented by govt, but the case cannot proceed because there’s literally no accuser. Charges were first invented by coup govt in 2020, and courts threw it out even then

  • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.netM
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    Milei government celebrates new IMF loan - Prensa Latina

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    Buenos Aires, May 22 (Prensa Latina) The government of Javier Milei celebrated the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) approval of another loan for one billion dollars, which means greater indebtedness for the country and, in addition, gave it other prescriptions to apply.

    In reviewing the program that the libertarian government must implement, the IMF endorsed the removal of subsidies and the tariff increases this year, which have made life much more expensive for Argentinians, in order to continue lowering spending, and warned that the plan, nevertheless, still has “high risks,” according to the Argentine press.

    The board of directors of that credit institution, under the leadership of Bulgarian Kristalina Georgieva, nevertheless left some messages about the current political and economic situation, which the team of the Minister of Economy, Luis Caputo, will have to take into account when defining the course of his administration.

    The board emphasized accelerating the purchase of reserves, a goal that Caputo’s team failed to meet, and being able to return to international markets as soon as possible.

    On the subject of communication, the IMF insisted that the Argentine executive must implement “measures to continue improving the quality and dissemination of inflation data,” called for improvements in communication, transparency and independence of the Central Bank (BCRA), and for responses “in good faith” to the international lawsuits in which Argentina is in the dock.

    The Fund supports the goal of achieving overall fiscal and financial balance by 2026, and prescribed that the Casa Rosada make further reductions in energy subsidies, a “better targeting” of social transfers and the containment of what it called discretionary spending.

    Luis Caputo responded that this is precisely a strategy of the administration, and that tariff increases this year would be above monthly inflation.

    Therefore, he refused to change the Consumer Price Index, for which he was the target of harsh criticism for using an inflation measurement that does not take into account all family expenses, and that data therefore does not reflect reality.

    Georgieva insisted that the government must pursue a “multifaceted financing strategy to restore timely and lasting access to the international market” and obtain more reserves in order to pay off more of the country’s short-term foreign currency debt obligations.

    However, in another move to favor powerful agricultural groups that help him stay in power, Milei announced on Thursday another reduction in export taxes on soybeans, wheat, and barley from 5.5 to 7.5 percent starting in June, which means less revenue for the treasury, or in other words, fewer dollars to increase reserves.

    Conversely, it drastically reduces funding for health, education, and other social programs, while celebrating the Chamber of Deputies’ approval of a bill to cut gas subsidies in the country’s colder regions, where the population needs it most for heating. This will significantly increase gas rates.

    This is one of the recommendations the IMF calls a suggestion. However, the draft bill must be approved by the Senate to become law.

  • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.netM
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    Argentina: Another poll reflects growing rejection of President Milei - Prensa Latina

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    Buenos Aires, May 16 (Prensa Latina) A new poll by the Zubán Córdoda consulting firm confirms that a majority of Argentinians reject President Javier Milei and will not vote for him in the 2027 general elections, much to the concern of him and his supporters.

    The study, conducted from April 25 to May 1 to measure the potential vote for Milei and other leading political figures, reveals that 57.2 percent will not vote for him in next year’s presidential elections, according to the digital media outlet MinutoUno.

    By age group, the “I wouldn’t vote for him” option surpasses the “I would vote for him” option. In the 18-30 age bracket, the negative sentiment is 45.6 percent; among voters aged 31-45, the percentage rises to 63.1; in the 46-60 age group, this option is at 59.3 percent, and among voters over 60, 50.7 percent also will not choose him in 2027.

    Regarding gender, among men, who were his strongest supporter in 2023, 55.7 percent stated they would not vote for him, compared to 37 percent who said they would, and 7.3 percent who said they didn’t know. Among women, the negative vote rose to 58.6 percent, while the positive vote fell to 26.3 percent.

    In summary, according to Zubán Córdoba’s survey, only 18.7 percent of respondents answered with certainty that they will vote for him, 12.7 percent responded with a conditional “I would vote for him,” and 11.4 percent are unsure about what they will do with their vote next year.

    That public opinion leaves the president with a potential 30.1 percent of voters, similar to the percentage that La Libertad Avanza obtained in the 2023 primary elections in which it came in below Peronism, an electoral stage that he now wants to eliminate in the proposed electoral reform, but it is confirmed that he does not have the votes in Congress to proceed with his intention.

    In summary, the newspaper Página12 notes that in January, 43 percent considered the government’s measures “necessary even if they hurt”; by May, that support had dwindled to 32 percent, and the approval rating for the libertarian administration is the lowest since the beginning of its term. “Milei is even losing on social media,” the newspaper points out.

    The policy of strict and profound adjustments that is already hitting the middle class, from the lower to the upper, the economic crisis, the corruption scandals such as that of his Chief of Staff, Manuel Adorni, for illicit enrichment – ​​and others – that have tarnished his public image, plus his excessive outbursts have cracked the support even of those who elected him in 2023.

    His attacks against the press are becoming increasingly vicious, and he once again insulted journalists, calling them “sons of bitches” on public programs—the streaming show Neuro being one of them—where he uttered vulgarities that left many speechless. In his irritation at the criticism of his economic management, he snapped: “Let’s see how I can masturbate better…”

    Such behavior leaves much to be desired.

  • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.netM
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    Bolivian Uprising Update

    Day 9 of the general strike in Bolivia. People are composing protest songs while doing night shift at the barricades.

    Once again, every US State Dept account is freaking out about workers organising.

  • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.netM
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    I predicted that uprisings would overthrow Bolivia’s neoliberal government before its term was up, now just 7 months in a general strike has paralyzed the whole country. I told you. Though, problem facing movement now is lack of political reorganisation since elections. The movement needs a political party, so far doesn’t have one.

  • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.netM
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    W.H.O. Raises Ebola Epidemic Risk in Uganda, DR Congo - Telesur English

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    W.H.O. this Wednesday elevated the Ebola epidemic impacting Uganda and the Democratic Republic of Congo to a high-risk level, following nearly 600 suspected cases and 139 suspected deaths that could escalate in the coming days.

    This declaration, made after consultations with health officials from Uganda and Democratic Republic of Congo, underscores the critical need for immediate and concerted action to contain the spread of the deadly virus and safeguard public health across the region.

    The Director-General of the World Health Organization, Tedros Adhanom, clarified that while the situation is of extreme concern, it does not yet classify as a pandemic emergency, which is the highest category under international health regulations.

    “The situation constitutes a public health emergency of international concern, but not a pandemic emergency“, the W.H.O. Chief stated. This distinction emphasizes the severity of the localized outbreak and the potential for wider regional destabilization without prompt intervention, highlighting the urgent need for a coordinated global response focused on containment and support for the affected African nations.

    In the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), a total of 51 confirmed cases have been reported, primarily concentrated in the provinces of Ituri and North Kivu, including the urban centers of Bunia and Goma.

    The W.H.O. issued a stark warning that the actual scale of this Ebola outbreak could be significantly larger than currently reported. This concern stems from observations suggesting that the virus had likely been circulating undetected for some time before being officially identified by local health authorities, posing a considerable challenge for contact tracing and containment efforts.

    Concurrently, Uganda has informed the W.H…O of two confirmed cases in its capital, Kampala, including one fatality. Both individuals had a travel history from the DRC, directly linking the outbreaks.

    Adding to the complexity situation, a United States citizen working in the DRC also tested positive for Ebola and has since been transferred to Germany for specialized medical treatment. These cross-border transmissions underscore the highly mobile nature of the region’s population and the inherent difficulties in controlling the virus’s spread in densely populated and interconnected areas.

    The W.H.O. Director-General further reported an alarming figure of nearly 600 suspected cases and 139 suspected deaths attributed to the Ebola virus, warning that these numbers are expected to increase in the coming days as surveillance and testing capacities improve. This rising toll reflects the rapid and aggressive nature of the disease, which poses a severe threat to public health systems already stretched thin in these regions, emphasizing the need for robust international support and resource allocation.

    Tedros Adhanom also highlighted the tragic loss of health workers due to the Ebola infection. This critical detail points to transmission associated with healthcare settings, a common challenge in Ebola outbreaks, compounded by high population mobility in Ituri and escalating insecurity due to conflict in the area since late 2025.

    The Director-General reiterated that the gravity of the situation demands urgent measures to halt the virus’s propagation and save lives. He confirmed that the W.H.O. already has teams on the ground, actively supporting national authorities. Furthermore, the organization has deployed additional personnel, essential supplies, specialized equipment and funds to bolster the response capabilities, demonstrating a robust commitment to assisting these affected nations in their fight against the deadly disease.

    In a concrete move, the W.H.O. announced the approval of an additional 3.4 million dollars from its Contingency Fund for Emergencies, bringing the total support allocated to 3.9 million dollars. This vital financial injection aims to accelerate the response capacity in key areas such as epidemiological surveillance, laboratory diagnostics, infection control and the comprehensive care of suspected cases.

    Specialists from the W.H.O. have emphasized a significant challenge: for the specific Bundibugyo strain of Ebola identified in this outbreak, there are currently no approved vaccines or treatments available. This lack of specific medical interventions underscores the critical importance of non-pharmaceutical interventions such as rapid diagnosis, isolation of infected individuals, and rigorous infection control protocols to break chains of transmission and prevent further escalation of this high-risk epidemic in Uganda and the DRC.

  • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.netM
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    Russia rules out evacuating its citizens from Cuba - Prensa Latina

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    Moscow, May 22 (Prensa Latina) The Russian ambassador to Cuba, Viktor Koronelli, today dismissed alleged plans for the evacuation of his nationals from the Caribbean nation.

    “The evacuation of Russian citizens from the island is not on the agenda,” the diplomat told the newspaper Izvestia, noting that the Cuban population conducts constant drills in response to the US threat.

    “Population drills, coordinated by the National Civil Defense General Staff, are conducted regularly. Of course, in the context of threats from the United States, greater attention is paid to the drills and recommendations,” he stated.

    On January 29, US President Donald Trump imposed an energy embargo against Cuba by threatening tariffs on countries that supply it with oil.

    This measure generated a severe fuel shortage and affected power plants, transportation, food production, healthcare, and education.

    Cuba accuses the United States of trying to strangle its economy and make living conditions unbearable for its population, while threatening military aggression.

    For his part, Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel stressed on May 3 that the United States’ military threat against his country had reached unprecedented levels.

    The president warned that any aggression against the island will be met with the people’s determination to defend their sovereignty and independence.

    On May 20, the United States sent its nuclear-powered aircraft carrier USS Nimitz to the Caribbean Sea.

  • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.netM
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    Candidate Cepeda will hold his campaign closing rally in Colombia’s capital - Prensa Latina

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    Bogotá, May 22 (Prensa Latina) The presidential candidate for the progressive movement Historical Pact, Iván Cepeda, will hold one of his campaign closing events today in the Plaza de Bolívar of this capital, which will include a political event and a cultural one.

    The candidate, who is leading in the polls according to surveys, presented yesterday the seven social welfare programs he will implement once he arrives at the Casa de Nariño (Presidential Palace).

    The main pillars of his government strategy are focused on eliminating poverty and overcoming inequality, so that progress for all is promoted.

    As he proposed, he would strengthen and expand the Colombia Mayor program (economic subsidy for older adults in conditions of extreme poverty), Renta Joven (incentives for the social and economic inclusion of young people) and Renta Ciudadana (eradication of extreme poverty through monetary transfers).

    Cepeda also commented that he would create other social benefit programs for people with disabilities, as well as for social leaders, and that he would establish the direct purchase of food from farmers and school supply kits for low-income families.

    He also stated that he would seek to agree with business leaders on a plan of social programs in exchange for tax relief.

    According to the candidate, the cost of this set of social actions will be three trillion pesos (around 808 million dollars at the current exchange rate), with progressive implementation and diverse sources of financing.

    The candidate, whose vice-presidential running mate is indigenous leader Aida Quilcué, will hold his grand national campaign closing event in Barranquilla next Sunday the 24th.

    The presidential elections, in which 12 contenders will participate, are just nine days away.

    Cepeda, with 44.6 percent, is followed in voting intention by the far-right Abelardo De la Espriella (31.6) and the representative of Uribismo, Paloma Valencia, with 14 percent, according to the Invamer survey.

    If none of them obtains 50 percent plus one of the valid votes, those who occupy the first two positions will then face each other in a runoff election on June 21.

  • Lovely_sombrero [he/him]@hexbear.net
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    Al Arabiya (Saudi state media) has taken over from Axios when it comes to pumping the market and bringing down the price of oil futures. They are again (third time this week, IIRC?) announcing that an imminent deal between Iran and USIS is going to be signed imminently.