cross-posted from: https://news.abolish.capital/post/73633

[Editorial note: Orinoco Tribune is not necessarily aligned with all the opinions expressed by the author in this article. However, Orinoco Tribune considers it important for publication in order to present various positions on complex issues.]

By Joe Emersberger – Aug 21, 2026

Since January, the US has imposed a level of subordination in Latin America that has not been seen since the early twentieth century when it directly occupied Haiti and Nicaragua. Today, only Cuba and Nicaragua deserve to be called sovereign states in the region. Trump has succeeded because the Holocaust in Gaza made western imperialists realize that they can get away with far more than they ever thought they could.

We who live in the imperial core should, at the very least, legitimize armed resistance to western imperialism at home and abroad, not make excuses for cowardly governments.

The despicable abandonment of Cuba
Cuba is hanging on by a thread as Trump has imposed a Naziesque fuel embargo on the island this year. Mexico and Brazil, two large oil-rich countries, have refused to sell oil to Cuba because Trump threatened them with tariffs. And Trump has actually threatened worse than that through his recent actions. In December of 2025, the US military stole a Venezuelan oil shipment to Cuba, and, soon after that, bombed Caracas and kidnapped President Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores. Venezuela has been run as a U.S. colony ever since.

Oil-rich Canada, one of the USA’s top vassals, also hasn’t defied Trump’s fuel blockade on Cuba despite having diplomatic relations and a long-standing trade relationship with Cuba. Canada’s government is probably happy to see Cuba starved by the fuel blockade. Prime Minister Mark Carney is a shameless western imperialist. He applauded the US bombing of Caracas, supported Trump’s war of aggression on Iran, sanctioned Iran for defending itself against US aggression, and demanded that Palestinians adopt the ideology of the state that is genociding them.

China has sent solar panels to Cuba which, unlike other shipments of non-fuel humanitarian aid, directly undermine the fuel blockade. Russia made a huge one-time oil shipment that brought some relief. Iran has not sent any oil but it has its hands full expelling the US from West Asia with stunning success so far, and is making tremendous sacrifices to do so. Russia is fighting a proxy war against NATO.

One could still reasonably criticize powerful China and Russia for not doing more for Cuba, but the inaction of nearby oil-rich Latin American states cries out for the harshest condemnation.

Venezuela made into a US puppet
By now it is clear, despite some initial hopes I had, that Delcy’s government in Venezuela is a US puppet. Its actions, such as handing over Alex Saab to the US, and seeking rapprochement with “Israel” are so cynical that I now believe Delcy and her clique masterminded the overthrow of Chavismo and a gradual transition to fascist rule under Maria Corina Machado or some close equivalent. I believe Delcy sold this plan to the US. Her clique was likely motivated by a desire to save their own skin by sacrificing millions of Chavistas.

High level betrayals are not new to Chavismo. Hugo Chavez was plagued by them as was Maduro. But Chavez and Maduro maneuvered around US-instigated betrayals before the Holocaust in Gaza changed western imperialism into something far more bold. In 2019, the US under Trump bluffed that it might invade Venezuela from neighbouring Colombia. The bluff failed, but in 2026 the U.S. dispensed with bluffs. The US military took a direct role in overthrowing Maduro because it failed to do so through devastating sanctions and by using proxies to attempt coups on its behalf.

However, the US military is also very casualty averse. Despite not being a match for the US militarily, Venezuela could have imposed significant US casualties had it fought back.

Surrender by exploiting Chavista discipline
Apologists for Delcy assume she made a good faith calculation that the costs of fighting back would have been higher than surrendering. But it is no longer reasonable to believe that she made a good faith calculation. I stopped believing that when Alex Saab, a minister under Maduro, was handed over to the US by Delcy’s government. The US is now certainly torturing Saab to try to use him against Maduro in a show trial. In June, Delcy’s government allowed the US to carry out assassinations on Venezuelan soil. The steps Delcy has now taken to normalize with “Israel” have further exposed her as a traitor.

A Venezuelan friend I trust, who has been a dedicated Chavista activist for decades, says that government workers who are long-time loyalists to Maduro and Chavez are now forced to take orders from known enemies of Chavismo or else lose their jobs. In my friend’s assessment, Delcy has also exploited the disciplined manner in which the Chavista base has rallied behind Chavez and Maduro to survive decades of US efforts to destroy them.

That discipline made it important for Delcy and the US to keep in place a facade of Chavista governance through a constitutional transfer of power to Delcy, the rejection of snap elections, and a perfunctory defence of Maduro. Delcy’s government is still paying for Maduro’s legal defence while he and his wife remain hostages in the US. All of that has contributed to keeping a lot of the Chavista base relatively quiet (notwithstanding the dissenting voices of Chavistas like Luis Britto Garcia and Mario Silva) but that relative quiet probably won’t last.

Trump’s theft of Venezuela’s oil revenues has prevented Delcy from delivering any major economic benefits to Venezuelans since she replaced Maduro. Economic growth slowed after Maduro’s kidnapping. And Trump maintains sanctions to ensure that a transition to full unabashed fascism in Venezuela is not interrupted.

My Chavista friend believes a mass uprising against Delcy by the Chavista base is coming as she inevitably rolls back rights for peasants and workers in the name of rejecting “polarization”. My friend is probably right, but with Venezuela security forces surely being purged of Chavistas I fear revolt will come too late, and will be viciously repressed. Regardless, Venezuela will certainly not be selling oil to Cuba any time soon.

The fake sovereignty of Lula and Sheinbaum
Often lauded as ‘progressives’ who stand up to Trump, the reality is that Lula and Sheinbaum feign independence from Washington, and not even very well, while cowering before it.

Lula won’t dare defy the US fuel blockade by selling oil to Cuba. He vetoed Maduro’s efforts to enter BRICS. He echoed the US rejection of Maduro’s election win in 2024 but immediately welcomed the fraudulent election victory of Ecuador’s rightwing dictator (Daniel Noboa) in 2025. Lula also glad-handed the US-installed former Al-Qaeda and ISIS operative who is now the dictator of Syria.

Lula’s idea of showing independence from Washington is echoing its vilification of Maduro but adding procedural quibbles: like saying Maduro should have been tried in Venezuela. Lula has also added that he does not consider getting Maduro and his wife released from the U.S. dictatorship’s clutches a top priority.

In 2004, Lula sent over a thousand troops to Haiti where they murderously consolidated a coup that was directly perpetrated by the US. Despite Lula’s service to US imperialism, the US helped railroad him into prison because Washington prefers far right vassals like Jair Bolsonaro. That didn’t make Lula less servile towards Washington. It seems to have made him worse.

As for Sheinbaum, her pitiful response to Maduro’s kidnapping was to ask the war criminals in Washington to give him a fair trial. Sheinbaum has stopped Mexico from selling oil to Cuba, and she happily handed out medals at the World Cup final standing next to genocidal Trump, whose bigotry towards Mexicans has been one of the defining features of his presidency.

The sophistries of surrender advocates
Every government has to make some concessions to western imperialism. It’s the inevitable result of living in a capitalist-run world, so one way to defend US vassals is to say they are doing the same as Mao, Lenin, Stalin, Castro, Chavez and Maduro all did.

But it is absurd to deny the truth about the USA’s ‘left’ vassals – and repulsive to invoke heroic leftist leaders of the past to do it. Today, former allies of Chavez who participated with him in armed insurrection in 1992 now debase themselves saying that fighting the US is “counterproductive” and that normalizing with “Israel” while it perpetrates genocide is very important.

Contrast that with Maduro wearing a Palestinian keffiyeh at his birthday celebration about a month before he was kidnapped. The keffiyeh he wore had words on it praising armed resistance against Zionism.

Iran, whose government is valiantly resisting the US, has stated the obvious about Delcy’s cowardice. Her government responded with a formal protest. Of course there are no protests from Delcy when Trump or his officials repeatedly say that they now run Venezuela.

Attacking gringo activists to defend US vassals
Apologists for Delcy, Lula and Sheinbaum often attack anti-imperialists who live in the imperial core. One piece made a very common line of attack as follows: “You gringos tell us how to make our revolution when our problem is you have failed to make yours.”

There is a big category error in this rebuke. Activists in the imperial core don’t command militaries. Delcy, Lula and Sheinbaum all do. If they aren’t willing to ever use their militaries to inflict casualties on the US then they are colonies, not sovereign governments, and certainly not revolutionary governments. Their militaries may as well be disbanded. Also, is it ok to call Javier Milei a US puppet or should we say nothing because Argentina’s plight is actually our fault for not overthrowing western imperialism?

As Justin Podur has noted, history shows that the imperial core is much more efficiently controlled than the periphery. Control has involved a mix of tactics that include bribery, propaganda and censorship, but also financial ruin, incarceration and murder. The characterization of imperial core activists as very free but too incompetent to overthrow their governments has been pushed by prominent non-violence advocates like Noam Chomsky and Howard Zinn. That characterization is false, and to promote it for any reason—including to shout down criticism of Delcy, Sheinbaum or Lula—makes revolution within the imperial core even more difficult to the extent it is believed. There is no non-violent path to liberation anywhere in the world, including the imperial core.

Podur correctly observed “while the global north is unequivocally more materially comfortable because of all the stolen wealth, it is not an easier location to ‘go and make a Revolution’ “.

Another attack line is that it is easy to advocate armed resistance from the relative comfort of the imperial core. Again, it is literally the job of militaries in Latin America to prevent their countries from becoming colonies. Those militaries have no valid reason to exist otherwise. There is nothing wrong with anyone saying that. And it is also easy—in fact, easier—to advocate surrender while living in the imperial core. Surrender advocacy is what imperialists want.

Unbreakable Cuba: Why Washington Still Fears a Defiant Island

Never ignore the costs of surrender
Selling defeatism is easy. The assassinated Hezbollah leader Seyyid Hassan Nasrallah constantly did the exact opposite of that. He reminded people that the costs of surrender tend to be forgotten – and that liberation requires sacrifice.

Underdevelopment imposed on Latin America and much of the world by the leading capitalist states has killed hundreds of millions people since 1990 alone. That’s the cost of surrender to western imperialism. Whether you live in the imperial core or not, you must never forget it.

(Unedited Anti-Imperialism)


From Orinoco Tribune via This RSS Feed.

  • Keld [he/him, any]@hexbear.net
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    12 days ago

    How about literally any resistance from Delcy Rodriguez, how about that? Because I think at this point the people advocating for maoist guerillas at least have a fucking ethos, while the “Oh there are other way” people just have capitulation.

    The fucking Houthis could stand up to the US with backyard foundries and thrown sandals in the middle of their own civil war, and no country in Latin America can do anything but hand over their own citizens and let Trump dictate trade policy? You just gotta let them starve cuba because that’s meaningful resistance?

    • CarmineCatboy2 [he/him]@hexbear.net
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      12 days ago

      The fucking Houthis could stand up to the US with backyard foundries and thrown sandals in the middle of their own civil war

      Yemen and Iran did not willingly become what they are. Neither did Russia. Neither did China or even North Korea. No society organizes politically to undergo generations of unmitigated human suffering required to get there. They are pushed to the brink by the Empire, and then they survive. Or they break. Latin America has a history of breaking.

      Would I do more for Cuba? Yes. According to the Brazilian Foreign Affairs Ministry all we’ve done is donate something along the lines of 20k tons of food to them and this was back in March. I doubt the number is actually impressive to anyone who knows anything about humanitarian disasters. But I don’t expect the Brazilian political system to feasibly coalesce in a way that can challenge an oil embargo enforced by the US Navy.

      The last time Brazil tried to use financial and industrial resources to create an oil refining system in the Caribbean we got couped. And that was in the last decade. We do not have the military power to enforce anything concrete beyond humanitarian donations.

      Just a few years ago we were talking about how Iran betrayed the axis of resistance. First because of the death of Nasrallah and then because of the fall of Assad’s government. Now they are heroes. And I can’t help but notice that, at the end of the day, the only thing people in general and westerners in particular really respect is military prowess. Not resistance.

      • Keld [he/him, any]@hexbear.net
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        12 days ago

        Doomerism is not political analysis. Countries have and continue to resist being CIA outposts and it is embarrassing to pretend there is no other option.

        I am pitting “Literally being an arm of the US government” against “Doing literally anything else” and you’re saying number two is the only possible choice, citing the fact that others have done things and sometimes the US gets mad. The US gets mad if you are a lackey. If Trump is going to kidnap you unless you surrender your entire country to him, then you go to jail. The possible consequences here are personal to Delcy Rodriguez, and she is refusing to take personal risk, instead surrendering the sovereignty of her entire country so she can sleep safer at night.

        The average US protestor in a frog costume has a bigger spine than her, and I’m not going to pretend handing over people you used to be in government with to the US so you personally don’t get handed over to the US is anything but moral cowardice.

    • AssortedBiscuits [they/them]@hexbear.net
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      12 days ago

      The fucking Houthis could stand up to the US with backyard foundries and thrown sandals in the middle of their own civil war

      They have material, ideological, and military support from Iran. Ansarallah did not do it all on their own. The entire Axis of Resistance only exists because of the triumph of the Islamic Revolution. If Iran still had their shitty shah installed by the British, you would not have an Ansarallah or a Hezbollah or any of the PMUs in Iraq. Whatever Shia resistance groups that would exist would be poorly armed and poorly led that would’ve been steamrolled by the IOF or ISIS.

        • Jabril [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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          12 days ago

          You haven’t provided a single fact in this thread, you realize that right? All you’ve said is that the government is run by compradors, a word I don’t think you understand based on how you are using it, and even that isn’t a “fact” no matter how much you want it to be in order to justify the position you’ve vibed yourself into

            • Jabril [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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              12 days ago

              Yes the people writing long effort posts explaining geographic, historic, economic, and cultural conditions are projecting the material conditions they are describing onto the world. That’s what is going on

    • Jabril [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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      12 days ago

      Not having any material analysis of the differences of the nations you are talking about makes it really hard to come to more accurate conclusions. Everyone I see arguing the points you are making here, in this thread or other threads, are basically saying

      “there are no fundamental material differences between two nations, and therefore if one country didn’t do something that another country did do, that can only mean they are run by compradors”

      This is metaphysical thinking and is anti Marxist. “Venezuela should have done what yemen did” is capitalist bootstrap mentality, victim blaming, punching down, etc.

      • Keld [he/him, any]@hexbear.net
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        12 days ago

        Not material analysis: There’s gotta be something you can do besides integrate your country into CIA operations

        Material analysis: Actually not, every single Latin America can only be a US vassal state, even if they didn’t use to be, even if the only change is t hat the US kidnapped the duly elected leader of your country. The only possible thing to be is a comprador.

        I’m sorry man, you just gotta stop trying to outmarxist people when your take is nothing.

        • quarrk [he/him]@hexbear.net
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          12 days ago

          The positive side of historical materialism is that the world is changeable. The negative side is that history largely sets the terms and timeline on which change occurs.

          If humanism forms any part of your Marxism then you have to understand that not every moment is revolutionary, and surely every historical revolution was preceded by years of danger, loss, hope, loss, worsening conditions, and more loss; and that denying this causes additional, unnecessary suffering by forcing a revolution against the facts.

          Marxists should be comfortable thinking in terms of generations and even centuries. That’s how long most things take to change. We got lucky a few times, but mostly things are heartbreaking and glacially slow. Is it possible that disappointment and impatience cause you to judge the people suffering defeat?

          The point I think Jabril and Carminecatboy2 are making is that Venezuela actually has suffered a strategic loss, and that trying to wriggle out of that loss will not meaningfully change the situation, and only cause more suffering for the Venezuelans.

          If Delcy has betrayed the country, then honestly where are the protests? Where is the mutiny from PSUV? I don’t think anyone sees a strategic opening that would be more than symbolic.

          • Keld [he/him, any]@hexbear.net
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            12 days ago

            If Delcy has betrayed the country, then honestly where are the protests? Where is the mutiny from PSUV? I don’t think anyone sees a strategic opening that would be more than symbolic.

            This isn’t an argument against Delcy betraying the country. The government handed over Maduro, there were widespread protests in favour of Guaido. I don’t know why PSUV is not mutinying, I suspect because they don’t believe they can replace Delcy with a suitable replacement and avoid a civil war, and that many of its higher ranking members are comfortable with becoming a member of the American sphere in return for an easing of sanctions and the threat to them personally. Likewise I don’t know why the venezuelan left are not taking to the streets, but I suspect the fact that the right wing and America just showed that they can replace their government at will and the people meant to represent them will acquiesce make it hard to muster any kind of useful resistance.

            If humanism forms any part of your Marxism then you have to understand that not every moment is revolutionary, and surely every historical revolution was preceded by years of danger, loss, hope, loss, worsening conditions, and more loss; and that denying this causes additional, unnecessary suffering by forcing a revolution against the facts.

            I don’t demand any revolution. I demand nothing. I am disappointed that it was this easy to crush Venezuelan resistance to the imperial hegemony, and dismayed that the current leader of the country and a supposed revolutionary party is so quick to abandon her principles. I think saying that she can do no other is not based in fact or reason.

            Edit:

            I also think going “Neener neener you’re a stupidhead” is not an argument, hence I have blocked Jabril.

            Edit 2: I also think it isn’t revolutionary to not let Trump decide your trade policy. Canada isn’t a revolutionary government, it isn’t having a revolutionary moment, Carney is not a revolutionary. He was still willing to say no. And while he does face less risk than Delcy Rodriguez, she isn’t even doing a token attempt to establish the sovereignty of her country.

            • quarrk [he/him]@hexbear.net
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              12 days ago

              The decisions of the Venezuelan leadership are plausibly consistent with a nation that has suffered a strategic defeat and are minimizing the loss.

              When the empire parks the Death Star in your orbit and demonstrates the weapon on a moon before pointing it at your feet, there is no meaningful resistance. You beg them not to push the button and try to salvage whatever dignity you have from the situation.

              it was this easy to crush Venezuelan resistance

              Idk, it’s much easier to resist when alive than dead, in a not-fully-destroyed country. The US struggles against Iran for well known reasons, but Venezuela? That kind of warfare is the bread and butter of the US military. Just drop bombs forever until the society is fundamentally destroyed. It’s easy. They don’t even have to fly far, it’s practically nextdoor. The Venezuelan military can resist an invasion, but they cannot resist an enemy that lobs infinite missiles without ever setting foot on the ground.

              If resistance still exists in Venezuela, then they can learn something from the loss, maybe for example developing missile infrastructure á la Iran which could withstand a long term bombing campaign. Or they don’t, that’s up to them. They don’t owe it to me to end US hegemony.

              The people who should feel ashamed at the moment are US Americans, for allowing their government to do this to Venezuela and forgetting about it after a couple news cycles.

            • Jabril [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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              12 days ago

              I also think going “Neener neener you’re a stupidhead” is not an argument, hence I have blocked Jabril.

              Oh wow you really can’t read without inserting your own false premises .

              It’s a shame people here with such bad takes so often refuse to even attempt to defend their takes or explain why other people are wrong and instead just engage in openly contrarian idealist behavior before blocking people. It is incredibly revealing about their intentions and their complete lack of credibility as an alleged leftist. Wrecker behavior entirely.

        • Jabril [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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          12 days ago

          Right, you think there is a way to “out Marxist” someone with “takes” because instead of applying dialectical materialism you only have vibes. Literally every statement you’ve made in this thread is just a “take” with no real basis in any evidence whatsoever

            • Jabril [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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              12 days ago

              Sure buddy, everyone here writing clearly researched and thought out analysis is a hypocrite and you are the only person who knows what is correct, which has only been “compradors!”

      • Keld [he/him, any]@hexbear.net
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        12 days ago

        Now did I say they need to start bombing the US? No? Ah shit, I guess that doesn’t fucking matter when you’re the comprador defense league on hexbear dot net.