Archive:
April 4 (Reuters) - Armenia’s president on Friday signed into law a bill that sets a legal foundation for the South Caucasus country to move towards joining the European Union as it moves to diversify its international ties beyond traditional partner Russia.
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Though Armenia has developed warm relations with the EU, joining will not be easy.
The landlocked, mountainous country of 2.7 million people shares no border with the EU, and its bitter rival Azerbaijan is a major gas supplier to EU countries.
They are definitely in very different positions.
The only quarrel Georgia has is with Russia and Abhazia and it’s more a story of the past by now. It has access to the Black Sea though so it’s an important asset to counter Russia(hence 2008 war).
Now Armenia has neighbours to the west(Turkiye - a NATO country) and to the east(Azerbaijan - Turkey’s lesser ally) who literally want them gone(strategically, historically, culturally, religiously). They had friendly relations with Iran to the south and Russia to the north(they don’t like Georgia much, but are mostly indifferent to each other) both of whom opposed Turkey-Azerbaijan’s plan for Azerbaijan to annex southern part of Armenia.
So for like a decade now Armenia’s politics was to damage relations with their “friends”, lose territories and people to Azerbaijan(with help from Turkiye) while simultaneously flirting with EU/NATO even attending NATO military exercises which is hilarious in it’s own way, imagine Poland in joint military exercises with Italy against Soviets and British in 1939.
There’s no way EU or NATO will accept Armenia as their member. But even if it was possible there’s no way any of the 4 countries surrounding Armenia will accept it. All four despite having very different views on the future of the region will sooner destroy Armenia than allow EU/NATO expand there. And it’s not like Armenia has 20 years to wait for the membership like Turkiye does, their last war was 2 years ago, the next one is pending.
I know Hanlon’s Razor but I think there is a limit to stupidity where we should accept the reason for their actions is malicious intent.