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silence7@slrpnk.netM to Climate - truthful information about climate, related activism and politics.@slrpnk.netEnglish · 3 months ago

Twelve months at 1.5°C signals earlier than expected breach of Paris Agreement threshold

www.nature.com

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Twelve months at 1.5°C signals earlier than expected breach of Paris Agreement threshold

www.nature.com

silence7@slrpnk.netM to Climate - truthful information about climate, related activism and politics.@slrpnk.netEnglish · 3 months ago
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Twelve months at 1.5 °C signals earlier than expected breach of Paris Agreement threshold - Nature Climate Change
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The 12 months before July 2024 were more than 1.5 °C warmer than the pre-industrial baseline. Using climate models, the author shows that the first year that exceeds 1.5 °C of warming most probably also occurs within the first 20-year period with an average temperature that exceeds temperature targets.
  • Amanduh@lemm.ee
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    3 months ago

    I knew the technology existed!

    • LoudWaterHombre@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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      3 months ago

      Yes it’s decades old too

      • Amanduh@lemm.ee
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        3 months ago

        So you could say I’ve been right for decades

        • LoudWaterHombre@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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          3 months ago

          At least

Climate - truthful information about climate, related activism and politics.@slrpnk.net

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Discussion of climate, how it is changing, activism around that, the politics, and the energy systems change we need in order to stabilize things.

As a starting point, the burning of fossil fuels, and to a lesser extent deforestation and release of methane are responsible for the warming in recent decades: Graph of temperature as observed with significant warming, and simulated without added greenhouse gases and other anthropogentic changes, which shows no significant warming

How much each change to the atmosphere has warmed the world: IPCC AR6 Figure 2 - Thee bar charts: first chart: how much each gas has warmed the world.  About 1C of total warming.  Second chart:  about 1.5C of total warming from well-mixed greenhouse gases, offset by 0.4C of cooling from aerosols and negligible influence from changes to solar output, volcanoes, and internal variability.  Third chart: about 1.25C of warming from CO2, 0.5C from methane, and a bunch more in small quantities from other gases.  About 0.5C of cooling with large error bars from SO2.

Recommended actions to cut greenhouse gas emissions in the near future:

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