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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: August 8th, 2023

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  • Please at least just phase it out instead of immediate elimination.

    Eliminating it at this time would mean there is a pretty large demo who want to go full EV or at least PHEV for their next vehicle but they won’t be able to as easily.

    For example if you’re driving a late 90s or early 2000s car, you practiced austerity and deferred maintenance over the last decade to survive financially and/or build savings, your current vehicle may be on its last leg.

    This means that during that time, your tax money subsidized a bunch of rich douchebag early adopters to get themselves a Tesla Plaid, and now it’s finally your turn to dip a reluctant toe into the new car market, and for your trouble you get tariff-induced price hikes and evaporating EV credits.



  • That and there are second-order effects. If your business ordered a bunch of shit prior to all of this, and it’s now coming into port you may say “fuck it, send it back” or you may decide to accept it, eat the tariff, and preemptively increase your pricing on your future finished landed goods because you are now having to factor in pricing instability of the input components/materials.

    Likewise, during the several months period of fluctuation, many businesses likely made a reasoned decision to stop ordering for the future because they don’t know if the market will tolerate them having to increase their prices by that much and they can’t afford to sit on inventory they will never sell. So even if the government declares “ha just kidding” and completely abandons tariffs today, there could be a period of 2-5 months where many products aren’t available because industries paused proactive ordering based on projected demand.




  • The most-aggressively short timelines don’t apply until 2029. Regardless, now is the time to get serious about automation. That is going to require vendors of a lot of off-the-shelf products to come up with better (or any) automation integrations for existing cert management systems or whatever the new standard becomes.

    The current workflow many big orgs use is something like:

    1. Poor bastard application engineer/support guy is forced to keep a spreadsheet for all the machines and URLs he “owns” and set 30-day reminders when they will expire,

    2. manually generate CSRs,

    3. reach out to some internal or 3rd party group who may ignore his request or fuck it up twice before giving him correct signed certs,

    4. schedule and get approval for one or more “possible brief outage” maintenance windows because the software requires manually rebinding the new certs in some archaic way involving handjamming each cert into a web interface on a separate Windows box.

    As the validity period shrinks and the number of environments the average production application uses grows, the concept of doing these processes manually becomes a total clusterfuck.


  • What many Americans would gravitate toward in the market is a “transitional” medium SUV or crossover type vehicle that is a Plugin Electric Hybrid (PHEV). This is the best option for many suburbanites because the infrastructure isn’t there for full electric for most uses cases, but most people living in single-family homes could afford to retrofit their residential electrical service at their own cost, and thereby do 90% of their driving on electricity while still retaining the capability of doing longer trips with gasoline. They need to be able to take the kid to baseball practice and fit the other kids Tuba or Cello in the back hatch etc.

    Personally I know many people who would settle for this compromise as a transitional vehicle. We just need a few more options that aren’t $50K+ new.


  • Even if the stated goal was to reshore large amounts of production of goods to the US, there are several problems with that.

    One, history shows that it is largely not possible, at least in any practical sense. US companies make t-shirts in Vietnam and Pakistan because they can sell them to consumers here for $10. Are US consumers magically going to decide they’re OK with an Old Navy (low quality) garment costing $35 instead of $10?

    Secondly, standing up manufacturing and distribution domestically isn’t an overnight thing. Funding, site selection, construction, supply chain integration etc. all take time. Trump thinks he can trade a few weeks of bad headlines and market hit, for some magically reappearing domestic manufacturing. It doesnt work that way. Even if it were possible, it wouldn’t create positive economic conditions on any kind of timeline sufficient to offset the negative effects real consumers are already experiencing.

    “Sorry little Johnny, not only can we not afford new Nikes for you anymore, but also you can forget about that Nintendo Switch 2 for Christmas because we can’t even order one. But at least we know your GED-educated uncle Jimbo in northern Michigan might be able to get a lower-middle class factory job assembling widgets again… maybe… in 2 years.”

    That isn’t a good economic pitch for most people.





  • My friends dumbass 12 year old kid was told he wouldn’t be given access to any social media until he was at least 16. He claimed he understood, and then proceeded to make an Instagram account with his real name and started sending pervy messages to various insta thott accounts.

    Basically as a parent you have to give them access to very limited apps and make them repeatedly demonstrate they won’t misuse them. Then as they get older, assuming they don’t do anything stupid or illegal, training wheels gradually come off.





  • Do I get any kind of points for thinking Tesla sucked before all the political windshift relating to Musk?

    I’ve said from jumpstreet that, at best, Tesla is like the Apple of the car world:

    • Model releases considered “cool” for the first year or so, because it’s a way to flex on the plebs.

    • Pretty soon everybody and their mom has one and the design isn’t very remarkable in and of itself. Therefore the iPhone becomes the basic bitch phone, and the Tesla becomes the basic bitch vehicle.

    • Overpriced relative to similar performing products.

    • Horribly invasive sensors, bad data privacy, and generalized ecosystem.