Nvidia Opens Investigation Into Jensen Huang’s Relationship With Chinese Spy

so uhh I take it thats not very good news for Nvidia

Anthropic’s IPO roadshow could potentially start this week the ‘before thanksgiving’ due date is still in place

Yes.

ECI is the benchmark measurement from Epoch AI, and AECI is benchmark measurement from Anthropic

I looked again, and it seems they just flat out deleted every other ECI measurement except for Astra

Here’s what it looked like then

and heres what it looks like now

Which is suspect because all of those ECI measurements were behind pace

I looked through their methodology page (https://github.com/spicylemonade/AI-2027-tracker/blob/master/docs/methodology.md) and the only reason I can find is that AECI fits METR better, and that “The three ECI variants are too close to separate on 12 tests, so the chart keeps the simplest one.” Yet they say that ECI and AECI cannot be compared, so why keep Astra and get rid of all the other? They kept in multiple different models for Opus and Mythos, so why remove GPT 5.4 Pro, Sol and Opus’s ECI? Also shows that the website had AI slop assistance via Claude

AI 2027 tracker has updated again

-On the main page chart, they decided to map the Anthropic unreleased models from the METR report for some reason. Setting aside how mapping unreleased models is inherently flawed because we don’t have the full picture, the METR report also said that their measurements come with a high uncertainty

Onto the list of predictions

-Late 2026 is at 84%

-Still doing that weird thing where 80% is both partially accurate and confirmed accurate

-The stock market prediction should be lower, since it didn’t get anywhere near 30%

-Imo the AI narrative prediction should also be lower, since theres conflicting reports about AI being amazing/AI being trash all over mainstream news

-One prediction got a 100% score even though part of it didn’t happen (under OpenBrain releases Agent 1 mini: “The part that did not happen is OpenBrain blowing away the competition: several labs shipped cheap, near-frontier models within weeks of each other.”)

-The key metrics seem to be mostly based on estimates rather than confirmed figures, so likely subject to change

Overall seems like they got a lot of ‘easy’ stuff right (ie business gurus shilling AI) but missed the harder stuff

deleted by creator

Anthropic employee has had their brain destroyed by rationalist circlejerk

‘we need to make armageddon happen as fast as possible even though I dont think it will be very good. a trillion dollars please’

They’re still in hot water with all those data centre restrictions becoming popular

not really

“our IPO will be supported by the people we are forcing to buy it’ is definitely a vote of confidence and not at all ominous

Sharing a gem from r/BetterOffline

“The next Google is dancing naked in front of you. If you can’t see the value of it, you don’t deserve to make money.” For the first and hopefully last time: Dario Amodei, please put your willy away

At the Financial Times Future of AI Summit, the AI vendors were shocked that nobody likes them. They don’t really understand the objections — one CEO compared data center protestors to protests against masks for COVID.

Utterly ridiculous people who are now getting the wake up to reality they deserve

Anthropic is going ahead with their IPO

This is looking like its going to be a bloody disaster but if the world wants to feed my schadenfreude by all means keep it coming

Struck some gold on slobstack

state bans only slow AI progress by 9 days at the absolute most pessimistic.

I don’t know, I think that’s insanely optimistic

especially “Noosphere89” smugly stating that datacenters will just move somewhere else

there’s no fucking way people will happily accept data centres near them after Big Tech has so happily made clear that they’re on the side of MAGA and fascism

Found another stellar AI 2027 take

” They don’t go through scenarios where AI doesn’t happen because they are unrealistic given what we know now, and even if that did happen somehow, it’s just business as usual in that case? So they don’t have any commentary to give.”

Yeah I’m sure the massive tech stock selloff and Big Tech allying themselves with the now widely despised and crumbling MAGA party and Anthropic’s IPO becoming shakier and shakier and all those voters saying data centred and tech were key issues that lead to them voting and all those anti-data centre bills being approved except one means that AI not being big is totally unrealistic

comment chain so good it must be seen to be believed

Shockingly the comments are calling out that there’s no way the 30% stock market rise is happening, among other things, but to single out a specific comment:

“RSI in 2026 isn’t predicted by that forecast. They predict AI-assisted speedups of progress. We are currently observing that, in fact a little ahead of schedule. According to METR’s best guess, we have the level of speedup now that AI 2027 had expected in Mar 2027. It isn’t “misleading” for a model to present things you consider boring or incremental and then be scored as correct when the boring or incremental things happen. That’s just being right”

Afaik this is a lie? METR’s time horizons graph still hasn’t updated past Claude Mythos, unless this comment is referring to another piece of METR data that I don’t know about.

Edit: quickly looked it up, they’re probably referring to this

Edit 2: yeah, I think this comment is some baloney. AI 2027’s coding ability in March 2027 is listed at 2.3x (and goes up to sped up by 30x). METR estimates Anthropic has been growing at roughly 1.9-2x the rate they were going at March 2024-Oct. 2025 (though they outright state that the estimate is given with high uncertainty)

Edit 3: BetterOffline post better explains why this is bullshit

r/singularity is coping too

Very conveniently cropped out the 46% accuracy on their Mid 2026 China predictions. And the graph that shows every single data point is below AI 2027.

(the tweet’s timestap reads August, which makes this even funnier)