Owl [he/him]

Contents: 1 live owl. Do not eat.

  • 19 Posts
  • 436 Comments
Joined 6 years ago
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Cake day: July 26th, 2020

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  • I’m hopeful for fusion too, but I don’t think it’s viable under capitalism.

    The problem with (fission) nuclear power is that, with for-profit companies financing power plants by mortgages, which is what we have, it takes so long to build the plant that the mortgage has accumulated so much interest that it’ll take forever to pay off. So even though they’re more profitable than a gas powered plant once completed, that extra profit is going towards paying off a huge mortgage for a very long time, before finally actually paying off.

    By any reasonable future forecast, a fusion power plant is going to be an even larger up front cost than a fission one, so it just can’t work without state planning.

    You can see a big difference with solar though, which absolutely does not have this problem. Setting up a new solar plant is fast and cheap now, and now that it’s cheap, companies and countries are itching to get in on it. But of course there are oil lobbyists and anti-environmental death cultists in the way of that. But they’re actively fighting against what’d be more profitable, so even under capitalism, there’s only so long until solar power wins.

    (But the timeline for solar power winning under capitalism still sucks and anything that averts climate change faster is better.)




  • I remember hipsters dressing like lumberjacks and 1920s flappers, more than farmers.

    I associate the peak of hipster culture with people opening up boutique cocktail bars with cutesy themes, trying to turn arts and crafts and manual labor into a profit, when the post-2008-crash economy meant jobs were scarce and retail rents were cheap. It was a rebellion against the housing and finance based economy, but not against capitalism as a whole.

    People hated hipsters because they were a bunch of fresh out of college kids dressing weird and “refusing” to get a normal job (because the economy was fucked). Also because a lot of them were gay. Also because those hipster bars were a huge gentrification vector.

    I can’t be as sure about cottagecore, because it’s still happening, and I’m less in the thick of it. It is also an arts and crafts movement. But it mostly exists in pinterest mood boards, because it doesn’t have a weird economic moment thrusting it into reality (except all the farmers markets in my area doubled in size this year for some reason, what the fuck is that, and is it cottagecore?).









  • LLMs? Generating spam lol.

    The programming stuff is waaaay overblown. It’s less accurate than copy/pasting shit off Stack Overflow, the thing we used to say was the sign of a bad programmer. Everyone using it is miserable, and nobody using it has actually delivered the results they keep saying they’re getting (it’s been 6 months since you all said you’re 100x more effective, where’s the 50 years worth of new software, AI bros?)

    There are occasionally these huge bursts of things AIs do, but they’re all predicated on having a huge budget dedicated to finding reasons why a huge AI budget is a good idea. There was a wave of security vulnerabilities being found by AI at the start of the year, but there are existing security scan tools that are just not being used If you spent the same amount of money scanning everything on github with AFL-Fuzz, you’d find billions of security bugs. There’s now a wave of math proofs being generated now, but AI companies are spending millions of dollars on this. For a million dollars you can hire a small team of math postdocs for two years. Heck, for a million dollars you can fund a permanent grant.