LaughingLion [any, any]

笑死

  • 5 Posts
  • 157 Comments
Joined 5 years ago
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Cake day: September 14th, 2020

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  • look at first you were saying nobody said the one thing, which they did, and now you want to get all bent out of shape because she didnt phrase this thing in an exact way to agree which is pretty much what i said in my very first comment that you took issue with. it seems to me like you just want to “win” an argument on the internet so here’s your victory. i give up. i dont care about natalie or this petty bullshit to say anything further


  • im commenting about what she could have done considering her original post is about that issue. were i in her shoes i wouldnt say the things she says but assuming i held her worldview then sure, why not take the fence-sitter position

    personally im not a fan of modern russia (or ukraine) and even though i understand the conditions in why they invaded i still dont like them and theres no point in being their cheerleaders because it doesnt move the needle anyways in regards to their inevitable victory





  • i see what shes trying to say but goddamn is she inept at saying it

    i also would not classify the us government as uniquely evil because evil among white colonial projects is fundamental to them whether it be us, french, german, british, or whatever

    the real question is, is this the moment to get into that argument? and why even pick a side in the russia/ukraine thing? they both suck and ukraine was always going to lose anyways. no point in tying yourself to either horse






  • I’m not. Effort reply incoming:

    It is way cheaper and faster to build the kinds of missiles Iran is launching than it is to build interceptor missiles. The interceptors need to be fast, much more maneuverable, have complicated target acquisition and tracking capabilities, often need to be able to link back up with their stationary launch systems, and more. Things you either don’t need at all or don’t need to be nearly as complicated for a regional ballistic missiles.

    Let’s run some basic numbers. We’ll start with the THAAD anti-ICBM launcher Israel uses. It’s US made. Each launch system (those boxy trucks with the rockets on the back) costs $1 BILLION dollars. Each missile costs $12.5 MILLION dollars. Some of that is our gross incestuous grifting in American military contracting but a lot is just how complicated and expensive they are to make. Israel has their Sling of David and some other types of Air Defense systems to counter non-ICBM missiles like Iran has traditionally used. These range from $200k per interceptor to $1 million per interceptor. In the beginning of the war when you saw dozens of those going up to intercept all those initial Iranian launches, that was tens to hundreds of millions of dollars being drained in an instant.

    Iran’s most expensive missile they’ve launched so far is around $200k. As expensive as the cheapest, least complicated interceptors and one launch of those pulled over a dozen and a half interceptors and still struck it’s target. Iran has also launched missiles in such way as to bait out as many interceptor missiles as possible, it seems, deliberately to drain the Israelis dry. Additionally, as videos are released, you must notice that interceptor launches are less frequent and even in some cases completely absent.

    It’s obvious that they are starting to ration. Iran, on the other hand is not experiencing a shortage of missiles in their possession. What they are experience is an inability to get those missiles to their launch sites from deep storage. Iran, knowing that Israel does have more air superiority than them stores their missiles in deep bunkers and Israel’s strategy was to bomb the access to those sites. It did so, but not as good as they wanted or needed. Fascists are arrogant and they underestimate their enemies and the capabilities of their enemies. This is a historical truth.

    Iran is likely undergoing massive efforts to dig out access to those missiles. We’ve seen Chinese cargo planes from mostly Guangzhou on this curious flight path through Western China into Iran where they blip off of radar. Some internet generals are claiming this is weapon shipments. I doubt that. I’d place my money on industrial excavation equipment. This way China can claim they did not supply Iran with any direct military aid. “I’m sure they were using it for relief and industrial purposes.” It’s the kind of thing they’ve done in the past.

    So while Israeli AD is suffering major attrition Iranian ballistics have an access issue that is actively being solved. Without major action from Israel or the USA, Iran will solve their issues and regain access to tens of thousands of ballistic missiles of all kinds in days. There is nothing Israel can do to effectively resolve their supply and production issues for interceptors. They simply do not exist to be supplied and manufactured at the rate they need them.

    Wars on won on logistics, people. Never forget that.